95% of experts say cash rate will hold at 0.25%: Finder.com.au

95% of experts say cash rate will hold at 0.25%: Finder.com.au
Staff reporterDecember 8, 2020

Only two out of the 42 economists who participated in Finder’s RBA Cash Rate Survey are expecting the RBA to cut the cash rate on Tuesday.

Alison Booth of ANU and Nicholas Frappell of ABC Bullion both expect the cash rate to hit 0% this week due to the state of the economy.

“With effective cash rates at around 0.15%, another reduction may just formalise the current effective rate scenario,” Frappell said.

As for when the cash rate will next move, experts were flummoxed.

Twenty-one respondents indicated an eventual rise, but could not point to any particular time in the next three years.

Interestingly, ten other economists selected both a potential rise and cut in the future indicating that the next actions of the RBA really do remain uncertain.

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