Commercial property confidence is solid, for now: ANZ

Commercial property confidence is solid, for now: ANZ
Staff reporterDecember 8, 2020

Commercial property confidence is at much more encouraging levels than its residential counterpart, according to the latest ANZ Property Council Survey.

The survey found that the gap in confidence between commercial and residential property has now reached record levels.

Despite this, commercial sentiment has also dropped.

The drop in sentiment in the most recent quarter occurred across all segments, although the retail segment is still the weakest.

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Sluggish income growth, rising mortgage rates and utility costs and reduced wealth effects as house prices fall are all issues reducing the level of household consumption taking place.

Online retailing and global competition are also continuing to hinder domestic bricks and mortar retailers.

However, the industrial segment is now the most optimistic, displacing tourism.

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Firms in the industrial industry report that the construction pipeline has increased further over the recent quarter, especially in New South Wales, while it remains elevated in Victoria and Queensland.

Danial Gradwell and David Plank, the authors of the report stated:

"The outlook for capital values is solid, which we think is consistent with demand coming from the strong pipeline of infrastructure projects coming through in those states.

"In addition, while online retailing is disrupting the retail sector, the storage and logistics requirements are supporting the industrial sector."

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"It is disappointing to see that survey respondents’ appraisal of the federal government has retreated considerably," the report said.

"While the September quarter showed a solid improvement in the government performance index (likely in response to the 2018-19 Budget), the subsequent leadership spill in August appears to have hindered confidence once more."

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