Sydney Harbour

There are five reasons to expect a further slowing in the national average home price growth next year, which will follow by a peak in prices sometime in the second half of 2022, and then falling prices in 2023, according to Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Capital.

"We remain of the view that we may be getting closer to the end of the 25-year bull market in property prices," he said.

He suggests firstly worsening affordability is constraining more buyers. Affordability has long been an issue in the Australian property market, he noted.

"While interest rates are still low the surge in house prices relative to wages has gone hand in hand with a surge in the level of debt relative to incomes. 

"That now means that it takes 8 years to save for a deposit in Sydney and 7 years in Melbourne.

"This is now squeezing out first home buyers yet again (which has seen their share of new housing finance fall from 25% to 18% since December) and increasingly existing owners looking to trade up are being squeezed out as well. 

"This is particularly an issue in Sydney and Melbourne and partly explains their slowing relative to other cities.

Secondly Oliver noted the supply/ demand balance is starting to improve. 

"Supply is on the rise again reflecting pent up selling, the end of lockdowns and high prices. 

"This could start to reverse the chronically low level of listings seen over the last 18 months. 

"More fundamentally strong levels of home building over the last two years following the unit building boom since 2015, combined with the absence of immigrants - which has resulted in a slump in underlying housing demand - have started to see the underlying supply/demand balance come under control," he noted. 

Thirdly Oliver noted rising interest rates will reduce the amount new borrowers can borrow and hence pay for dwellings. 

"Fixed mortgage rates are already on the rise (with several banks increasing them by 0.5% or more) and the RBA is expected to start raising the cash rate (and hence variable mortgage rates) from late next year. Rising interest rates are likely to be a big dampener. 

"The collapse in fixed rates to 2% or less played a big role in the recent boom. 

"Fixed mortgages have accounted for 50% or so of new loans recently, so are far more significant than they used to be in impacting new buyer demand (even though there is no impact on existing fixed borrowers until they roll off current terms which may become an issue next year)," he noted.

Fourthly Oliver noted macro prudential tightening is reducing the amount new borrowers can borrow and pay for homes. 

"So far APRA has told banks to increase the interest rate serviceability buffer they apply to borrowing rates in assessing borrowers from 2.5% to 3% and are now moving to require banks to hold more capital for higher risk loans. 

"The former will reduce the amount borrowers can borrow and the latter will raise the interest rate on or reduce the supply of higher risk loans. 

"Further tightening measures are possible."

Finally Oliver noted a rotation in consumer spending back towards services as reopening occurs (covid and the Omicron variant permitting) may reduce housing demand.

He noted there had been a "sharp loss of momentum since March" as a result of worsening affordability, rising supply, rising rates, macro prudential tightening and some eventual rotation in spending away from housing. 

"We expect a further slowing in home price gains to 5% in 2022, with prices likely to start falling from around September/October next year resulting in a 5 to 10% decline in prices in 2023," he said.



Oliver said the anticipated gradual recovery in immigration may take pressure off capital city prices.

jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Five reasons to expect a cooling in the property market: Shane Oliver

Apartment re-sales in the recently completed Opera Residences have shown price increases of between 20% to 30% since the project launched, according to CBRE.&nbsp;

All 104 Opera Residences sold off the plan within two hours of their 2016 launch, with $600m in sales recorded in a single day.&nbsp;

The level 19 penthouse sold for $26 million (or $96,000psm), and the buyer also purchased two three-bedroom apartments below, spending a total of $57 million.

&quot;The feedback I&rsquo;m getting is Opera Residences&rsquo; finish is beyond expectation,&quot; leading re-sale agent of Opera residences, Auschain&#39;s Sean Huang said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6012 project_image_fid=84194]

&quot;The CBD market has been impacted the most from covid and border closures, but this building has proven to be bullet proof.

&quot;Original purchasers re-selling are making exceptional profits and I don&rsquo;t see this slowing down.&rdquo;&nbsp;

Experts say Australia&rsquo;s growing ultra-high-net-worth population is driving the luxury end of the property market. The latest property forecasts show that luxury sales are 17% higher this quarter than the fourth quarter of 2020, compared to average national luxury home prices rising 2.9% in previous years.

Re-sales&nbsp;have increased by 20-30%&nbsp;since the project launched,&nbsp;CBRE&rsquo;s Tim Rees says, adding that they expect that trend to continue.

&ldquo;That&rsquo;s well above the percentage increases reported in the latest prime forecast report,&quot; Rees suggested.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6012 project_image_fid=84195]

Rees attributes&nbsp;Opera&nbsp;Residence&rsquo;s success to its exceptional location opposite the Sydney Harbour Bridge and next to the&nbsp;Opera&nbsp;House, as well as its stunning architecture, interiors and panoramic vistas.

&ldquo;The project represented a limited opportunity to buy into the Circular Quay precinct with a dress-circle view of the world&rsquo;s most beautiful harbour and a highly sought-after, iconic building that&rsquo;s tightly held by locals. That makes it a magnificent proposition, and it&rsquo;s likely to be tightly held and passed down to future generations as one of the world&rsquo;s most extraordinary addresses,&rdquo; Rees says.&nbsp; 
 
Macrolink Landream Australia recently revealed four new tenants confirmed for the retail precinct, including Japanese teppanyaki fine dining restaurant and bar OBOROZUKI, a trendy ground floor caf&eacute;, award-winning international restaurant chain, IPPUDO Ramen and upmarket Opera Ice Creamery. 
&nbsp; 
Landream have a diverse portfolio of projects across New South Wales and Victoria, with two high-end residential developments currently under construction in Victoria - The International, Brighton and Hurstmon, Malvern East. 
&nbsp; 
Opportunities remain to secure two and three bedroom residences across these two developments in premium Melbourne locations.

For more information about Opera Residences, <a href="https://operaresidences.com.au/">click here</a>.

Opera Residences was a Macrolink Landream project at 71 Macquarie Street

Residents set to move into Macrolink Landream's Opera Residences

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Renders have been revealed for the two penthouses atop Residences Two, one of the towers in luxury Barangaroo project One Sydney Harbour.

The three level penthouse in the neighbouring Tower One made history in 2018 when it sold for a record $140 million, the most expensive residential transaction in Australia's history. It was bought as two separate apartments, the sub-penthouse below added to the double-storey penthouse.

The two Skyhomes in Residence Two span a whole floor each, ranging between 540 to 670 sqm. They both will have three-metre high ceilings throughout, as well as gun-barrel views overlooking Sydney Harbour's famous icons.

<img alt="" height="892" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/one_sydney_harbour_2.jpg" width="1200">

The Skyhomes, accessed through their own private lobby, will each have their own Sky Terrace which will have an entertaining space and a pool. The apartments have been designed in collaboration between Daniel Goldberg, the creative director at State of Craft, and the internationally acclaimed Pritzker award winning architect Renzo Piano.

The pair have collaborated before, on The Shard and Shard Place in London in 2012, and Goldberg was behind the interiors of the $140 million penthouse. 

Estimated to be completed in 2025, One Sydney Harbour will be made up of 808 apartments across three towers. Tower One is set for completion in 2023 and will home 317 apartments across 72 levels.

 

<blockquote>
  
We wanted to create two unique, world-class homes in the sky that capture the essence of living high above Sydney Harbour. The experience of being in the Skyhomes was inspired by life onboard private yachts with their seamless transition from inside to outside spaces, and the feeling of freedom and elegant comfort. 

Daniel Goldberg, Founder and Creative Director - State of Craft
</blockquote>

 

<blockquote>
"All places have a story to tell, you just have to listen to that story and I think Sydney has a great story to tell. We immediately started to think about these buildings being like crystals, playing one to the other. In this case I think it’s very much about this, about making something that tells the essence of this city that is about sense of lightness, a sense of light, the sense of transparency."

Renzo Piano, Chairman and Founding Partner – Renzo Piano Building Workshop
</blockquote>

 

<blockquote>
“The design collaboration between Renzo Piano and Daniel Goldberg continues to bring Lendlease’s vision for One Sydney Harbour to life, setting the tone for this landmark residential offering. Following the record-breaking Residences One penthouse sale, we are now showcasing the Residences Two ‘Sky Homes’, which pay homage to Goldberg’s design expertise and luxury living vision.” – Ben Christie, Head of Residential, Property - Lendlease
</blockquote>
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Renders have been revealed for the two penthouses atop Residences Two, one of the towers in luxury Barangaroo project One Sydney Harbour.

Joel Robinson

Lendlease reveal One Sydney Harbour luxury skyhome penthouses 

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Buckley’s Bar at Opera Quays on the Sydney Harbour waterfront promenade is set for public auction, 25 November through Cushman &amp; Wakefield.
The property, 1A Macquarie Street, East Circular Quay sits between the Sydney Opera House and Circular Quay Ferry terminal and is 408 sqm across three levels.
The property has a net annual rental income of $809,738 with a 5 year lease in place which began May 2014 and has the option to extend for a further 4 years and 9 months.
Anthony Bray, Cushman &amp; Wakefield director, sales &amp; investments, said despite yield compression in the NSW retail property market, we have seen flagship retail assets of this nature performing strongly.
"The recent sale of the former Bates Milk bar site on Campbell Parade on Bondi Beach was sold at a 3.14 percent yield, and demonstrated the fierce competition for investment in Sydney’s prime retail and tourist precincts," he said.
"Buckley’s Bar is strategically located with a large outdoor seating component with direct water views, with these features making this retail strip one of the most tightly held precincts in the Sydney CBD.
“We are expecting interest in Buckley’s Bar will be significant, underpinned by limited supply of premium retail investment opportunities in the inner city coupled with income security for a potential purchaser over the medium to long term."
 
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Buckley's Bar at Circular Quay up for sale

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The top sale of the week was a six bedroom deep waterfront in the Sydney suburb of Tennyson Point, according to CoreLogic RP Data.
The property, <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-tennyson+point-121079062" target="_blank">141a Tennyson Road Tennyson Point</a>, sold for $5,905,000 through Joseph Mazar and Susie Crino from Ray White of Gladesville &amp; Ryde.
Top ten sales 
141a Tennyson Road, Tennyson Point, NSW 6 bed, 4 bath, 3 car house $5,905,000 Ray White Gladesville 
144 Glenmore Road, Paddington, NSW 4 bed, 3 bath, 2 car house $4,200,000 BresicWhitney Darlinghurst 
701/21a Hickson Road, Millers Point, NSW 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car unit $4,000,000 McGrath Estate Agents 
28 Cosham Street, Brighton, Vic 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car house $3,925,000 RT Edgar Brighton 
16 Belmont Avenue, Kew, Vic 4 bed, 2 bath, 2 car house $3,905,000 Jellis Craig Hawthorn 
2 Callantina Road, Hawthorn, Vic 5 bed, 3 bath, 2 car house $3,840,000 Kay &amp; Burton South Yarra 
59 Woodside Avenue, Strathfield, NSW 4 bed, 2 bath, 2 car house $3,800,000 Georges Ellis &amp; Co 
26 Bowden Crescent, Connells Point, NSW 3 bed, 2 bath, 3 car house $3,750,000 McGrath Estate Agents 
76 Wood Street, Manly, NSW 4 bed, 4 bath, 2 car house $3,550,000 Clarke &amp; Humel Property 
15 South Street, Strathfield, NSW 7 bed, 3 bath, 2 car house $3,450,000 Strathfield Partners 
 
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mick.cee-iDmgDDAmu8

Sydney harbour deep waterfront leads CoreLogic RP Data top ten

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It was our fourth Surveyor-General Sir Thomas Mitchell who led the harbourfront residence push when he built the 1840s residence, Carthona on the shores of Darling Point, which is still seen and admired.
But concerns over sanitation saw many of the pioneer plutocracy taking themselves instead to harbourside ridges. 
During World War II, the fear of invasion via the harbour led to a loss of interest in waterfronts.
They haven't always been the must haves.
But come the late 1980s, the playwright David Williamson had detected the firming in sentiment when he wrote his 1987 play, Emerald City.
"No-one in Sydney ever wastes time debating the meaning of life - it's getting yourself a water frontage," one character advised.
Ofcourse not all waterfronts are alike. Not all the wisest of trophy home acquisitions.
The recent $80 million sale of four adjoining homes on Coolong Road, Vaucluse as a harbourside compound for Russian entreprenuer was significant for several reasons, not the least that it marked a return to the more traditional approach to the selection of prestigious property.
Aspect once again reigned supreme, not the picture postcard view that's highlighted every New Year's Eve.
Traditionally a northeast facing sheltered bay with boating facilities on Sydney Harbour was the most sought after buying waterfront option, but because of the Sydney Harbour Bridge and then the Opera House there's been an escalating value add to the west facing eastern suburbs homes.
This has become even more pronounced given the surging interest from off-shore buyers who often comment to estate agents “when I am in Sydney I want to know I am in Sydney by seeing the icons from my lounge room”.
Waterfronts to the west of the Harbour Bridge have seen their own transformation, especially as its industrial sites have been remediated.
The gentrification of the waterfront ever westward has meant the million-dollar price tags are the norm, and not just on the main harbour. All the way up the Lane Cove and Parramatta rivers. And Sydney's other waterways too.
When choosing the right waterfront, professional help is helpful from the buyers' agent through to the architect.
Bear in mind that councils have special foreshore protection zones that impose restrictions. 
Starting with the aspect, a north east facing home is most desirable.
The next point to consider is the depth of the waterfront. Can it accommodate a jetty or a pile berthing for your boat? 
Buyers need to consider how swells might impact with the quieter waters of bays definitely preferred.
The opposite of swells, low tide must also be borne in mind because it can become sandy and muddy. Or worse smelly with seaweed and scattered with debris.
Sandy beaches tend to attract the public who are generally allowed access to all areas below the mean high water mark.
If the waterfront is close to ferry wharfs, it will be noisy. Then there's the tour boats with their megaphone commentary which landowners can hear about themselves! Add to that the party boats with their blaring music and light show.
Accessibility to the waterfront from the house is another important consideration. Steps and inclinators are a turn off for may buyers. Steep waterfront blocks are a challenge, engineering wise and also ease of parking. 
Lastly some might wish to bear in mind the impact of climate change and rising seas as it could potentially effect especially on reclaimed land.
Selecting a property with just a great view in mind is possibly not the wisest outlay.
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Aspect makes a comeback with Sydney waterfront property

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Two iconic Sydney trophy homes have been listed for sale that now go head to head in a battle for upmarket buyers.
Altona, the oft-called eight bedroom home of conspicuous consumption in Point Piper, has hit the market, along with the seven bedroom Elizabeth Bay harbourside home, Boomerang.
Both were prior record setting homes, but not this time around as James Packer's $70 million contemporary Vaucluse sale, after some serious site amalgamations, seems unbreakable for the time being.
The low-key Wang family have listed Altona, their prized Point Piper harbourfront home last sold at $52 million in 2013 on 2400 sq m.
But it won't be setting any price records given its listing follows the sale earlier this week of their adjacent 1000 sqm garden block, reputedly for around $18 million to Chinese buyers.
The iconic Victorian Italianate home was last sold by Deke Miskin, a former teenage magazine publishing industry entreprenuer, and his wife Eve who hosted many social events.
Its been a little quiet since being sold to the Melbourne-linked Chinese property developer Wang Zhijun.
The recently sold garden block had been added to Australia’s most famous trophy home by publisher Matt Handbury and his then wife, former model Fiona in the mid 1990s. 
The Handburys sold their merged 2400 sqm holding - envisaged as a tennis court - to publisher Deke Miskin and his wife, another former model Eve in 2002 for $28 million.
Rosaline Ho of Goldfield &amp; Co has been appointed to sell the home, with Alison Coopes. The Lowy family and actor Russell Crowe rank among a who's who having previously toyed with buying Altona.
Property observers suggest it might sell at $45 million plus this time given the reduced land size.
Boomerang, which doesn't come with Harbour Bridge and Opera House views, quietly hit the market earlier this month with ambitious $60 million hopes through Ray White Double Bay.
Sydney's finest Spanish mission-style trophy home, is being off-loaded by Lindsay Fox, the Melbourne-based billionaire trucking magnate who has hosted many charity fund raisers in the 4100 sqm grounds.
The Elizabeth Bay landmark harbourfront home was bought for $20 million in 2005.
The Hollywood-style mansion has often been ranked as the most expensive house in the country as it was the first property to crack the $20 million level.
It was also the first Sydney home to fetch more than $1 million when sold by the original owners in the 1970s.
It was built at a cost of 60,000 pounds for music book publisher (Sir) Alexis Albert, who lived there until he died in 1962 with it then being vacant for more than a decade. 
Perth-based developer Warren Anderson owned it from the mid 1980s until 1993, when he was evicted by the Bank of New York and it was sold by the mortgagee to the now jailed fraudster Nati Stoliar for $6.6 million.
Then merchant banker Malcolm Turnbull was interested at the time, underbidding at its 1993 auction, for the home with its majestic Moorish porte cochère, arcaded loggias, oak panelled library with Tudor-style fireplace and its so-called peacock room conservatory.
Australia’s record house price was set last August at $70 million when James and Erica Packer sold their Vaucluse mansion, La Mer to Chinese-Australian businessman Dr Chau Chak Wing.
The historic Double Bay estate Elaine remains the most expensive property for sale in Sydney after agents set an official price tag of $80 million.
The trophy home, which sits over 6900 sqm on the harbour, has been on the market for two years through Ken Jacob’s of Christie’s International Real Estate. 
“It is one of the world’s most exciting opportunities,” he said. 
For more than 125 years it has been in the hands of the Fairfax family.
The Wang's concealed ownership of the property behind a complex shelf company structure, with Chaimovitch Investments Pty Ltd fronted by an elderly relative in Melbourne. 
It's purchase attracted the interest of the Foreign Investment Review Board at the height of Treasurer Joe Hockey's crackdown on illegal Chinese property purchases last year.
But Wang and his wife Guan Hongyan are now permanent residents, and deciding on downsizing, looking at what next to buy in either Sydney or Melbourne.
A spokesman said the sale was voluntary, not a forced divestiture.
This article was first published in the Saturday Daily Telegraph.
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Altona versus Boomerang - battle of the Sydney trophy homes

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Two iconic Sydney trophy homes have been listed for sale that now go head to head in a battle for upmarket buyers.
Altona (above), the oft-called eight bedroom home of conspicuous consumption in Point Piper, has hit the market, along with the seven bedroom Elizabeth Bay harbourside home, Boomerang.
Both were prior record setting homes, but not this time around as James Packer's $70 million contemporary Vaucluse sale, after some serious site amalgamations, seems unbreakable for the time being.
The low-key Wang family have listed Altona, their prized Point Piper harbourfront home last sold at $52 million in 2013 on 2400 sq m.
But it won't be setting any price records given its listing follows the sale earlier this week of their adjacent 1000 sqm garden block, reputedly for around $18 million to Chinese buyers.
The iconic Victorian Italianate home was last sold by Deke Miskin, a former teenage magazine publishing industry entreprenuer, and his wife Eve who hosted many social events.
Its been a little quiet since being sold to the Melbourne-linked Chinese property developer Wang Zhijun.
The recently sold garden block had been added to Australia’s most famous trophy home by publisher Matt Handbury and his then wife, former model Fiona in the mid 1990s. 
The Handburys sold their merged 2400 sqm holding - envisaged as a tennis court - to publisher Deke Miskin and his wife, another former model Eve in 2002 for $28 million.
Rosaline Ho of Goldfield &amp; Co has been appointed to sell the home, with Alison Coopes. The Lowy family and actor Russell Crowe rank among a who's who having previously toyed with buying Altona.
Property observers suggest it might sell at around $45 million this time given the reduced land size.
Boomerang, which doesn't come with Harbour Bridge and Opera House views, quietly hit the market earlier this month with ambitious $60 million hopes through Ray White Double Bay.
Sydney's finest Spanish mission-style trophy home, is being off-loaded by Lindsay Fox, the Melbourne-based billionaire trucking magnate who has hosted many charity fund raisers in the 4100 sqm grounds.
The Elizabeth Bay landmark harbourfront home was bought for $20 million in 2005.
The Hollywood-style mansion has often been ranked as the most expensive house in the country as it was the first property to crack the $20 million level.
It was also the first Sydney home to fetch more than $1 million when sold by the original owners in the 1970s.
It was built at a cost of 60,000 pounds for music book publisher (Sir) Alexis Albert, who lived there until he died in 1962 with it then being vacant for more than a decade. 
Perth-based developer Warren Anderson owned it from the mid 1980s until 1993, when he was evicted by the Bank of New York and it was sold by the mortgagee to the now jailed fraudster Nati Stoliar for $6.6 million.
Then merchant banker Malcolm Turnbull was interested at the time, underbidding at its 1993 auction, for the home with its majestic Moorish porte cochère, arcaded loggias, oak panelled library with Tudor-style fireplace and its so-called peacock room conservatory.
Australia’s record house price was set last August at $70 million when James and Erica Packer sold their Vaucluse mansion, La Mer to Chinese-Australian businessman Dr Chau Chak Wing.
<div>The historic Double Bay estate Elaine remains the most expensive property for sale in Sydney after agents set an official price tag of $80 million.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The trophy home, which sits over 6900 sqm on the harbour, has been on the market for two years through Ken Jacob’s of Christie’s International Real Estate.
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>“It is one of the world’s most exciting opportunities,” he said.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>For more than 125 years it has been in the hands of the Fairfax family.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Wang's concealed ownership of the property behind a complex shelf company structure, with Chaimovitch Investments Pty Ltd fronted by an elderly relative in Melbourne.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
It's purchase attracted the interest of the Foreign Investment Review Board at the height of Treasurer Joe Hockey's crackdown on illegal Chinese property purchases last year.
</div>
<div>
But Wang and his wife Guan Hongyan are now permanent residents, and deciding on downsizing, looking at what next to buy in either Sydney or Melbourne.
A spokesman said the sale was voluntary, not a forced divestiture.
This article was first published in the Saturday Daily Telegraph.
</div>
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Altona, the Point Piper trophy home hits the market

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The NSW Government has listed a prime piece of freehold land on Sydney's harbourside at Walsh Bay.
Located at <a href="https://www.realcommercial.com.au/property-land+development-nsw-walsh+bay-502065494" target="_blank">14 Hickson Road</a>, the vacant 718 sqm parcel has two street frontages and is prime for a premium boutique mixed-use retail/residential development. 
Marketed by Savills agents Stuart Cox, Robert Lowe and Neil Cooke, the agents see the land as a unique opportunity to acquire a rare, freehold parcel of level land with excellent development upside.
“Surrounded by some of Sydney’s most expensive real estate, 14 Hickson Road is located within one of Sydney’s most prestigious locations," Stuart said.
"Moreover, as Sydney’s prime residential market continues to remain buoyant, coupled with the lack of ultra-prime sites for luxury residences, we expect strong competition for this site, both local and international."
Any development will need to adhere to existing planning controls within the Sydney Regional Environmental Plan No.16, including consideration of the heritage significance of the precinct.
Kann Finch, the highly regarded international architectural firm has prepared a design for a single mixed-use development of 8 levels, comprising 19 lavish apartments above a small ground floor retail area space of circa 192 sqm.
The retail space benefits from two additional 70sq m terrace areas located on levels 2 and 3 providing panoramic northerly views out over Sydney Harbour.
In the neighbouring Millers Point, RP Data recorded 48 sales in excess of $2 million in 2015.
Buyers who had purchased apartments within Barangaroo have reported price increases of circa 24% for a one-bed and 35% for a two-bed since 2013.
The expressions of interest for the campaign will close on September 7.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

NSW Government offers rare freehold Sydney harbourside parcel of land

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Fishing guru Rex Hunt has snappily sold his Quay Grand apartment on Macquarie Street for $2.05 million.
It was back in 1999 when Hunt paid $690,000 to buy into<a href="https://www.domain.com.au/1003-61-macquarie-street-sydney-nsw-2000-2012921911" target="_blank"> the Mirvac developed complex</a>.
Hunt has had a career in many different pursuits.
He was a police officer in Victoria while playing in the forward line for the Richmond VFL team. He became a radio football commentator, known for his habit of making up quirky nicknames for players.
However, he is probably most famous around the world for his fishing programs.
Ettiene West at Morton Sydney secured the off market sale of the 75 sqm one bedroom.
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