<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/caulfield-north-vic-3161">Caulfield North</a> isn’t short on prestige, but it is short on boutique new apartment developments with spacious floorplans.</p>

<p>Cue LUMA, the newest development by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/skylife-group-pty-ltd">Skylife Group</a>, which offers just nine apartments on Hawthorn Road.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/luma-caulfield-north-226-hawthorn-road-caulfield-north-vic-3161">LUMA</a> occupies a coveted position near Caulfield Park, encircled by Melbourne's finest schools, parks, and culinary destinations. Its low-rise form by Metaxas Architects channels timeless design principles, wrapped in a restrained yet luxurious material palette.</p>

<p>Every residence embraces natural light and outlooks, thanks to expansive glazing and thoughtfully arranged floorplans.</p>

<p>Ranging from 80 sqm to nearly 160 sqm internally, with terraces or balconies extending up to 30 sqm, the homes offer a diversity of configurations, from two-bedroom residences to three-bedroom layouts with up to three bathrooms.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=148933 project_image_fid=335511]</p>

<p>The interiors are unified by a calm, light-infused aesthetic. Organic white walls, soft walnut timber joinery, and Aurora Range European Oak flooring are paired with plush carpeted bedrooms, creating a harmonious tactile experience.</p>

<p>The kitchens at LUMA serve both as culinary workspaces and statement design features. Buyers can choose between a lightGlacier Honed or dark Turko Argento natural stone benchtop, with timber-look Polytec Ravine joinery and fluted glass cabinetry providing contrast.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Miele appliances complete the package, tailored to residence size, with premium upgrades for three-bedroom homes including an 80cm induction cooktop and Gen 7000 speed oven.</p>

<p>Bathrooms echo the same sensibility, with natural stone, black EXON fixtures, and frameless glass showers. Select residences offer freestanding baths.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=148933 project_image_fid=335513]</p>

<p>Private outdoor spaces, secure parking, and options for EV charging reflect a practical yet elevated lifestyle focus.</p>

<p>As the development progresses toward its late 2026 completion, construction is in the hands of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/rf-construction-management-pty-ltd">RF Construction Management</a>, bringing over 30 years of local high-end building expertise.</p>

<p>LUMA also offers a five per cent deposit structure, allowing buyers time to plan while securing their place in this tightly held precinct.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=148933]</p>


Joel Robinson

Inside Caulfield North's most boutique address, LUMA

<p>Sekisui House Australia's first apartment development in Sydney's Lower North Shore has been a hit with prospective new home buyers.</p>

<p>They recently released <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/waterstone-st-leonards-24-berry-road-st-leonards-nsw-2065">Waterstone</a>, on the fringe of Newlands Park in the emerging St Leonards South precinct, a short walk from the Crows Nest Metro and the heart of St Leonards.</p>

<p>The new development will home&nbsp;207 apartments across five mid-rise buildings, rising between four to nine storeys.</p>

<p>We recently visited the display suite at&nbsp;60 Pacific Highway, St Leonards, to find out more about the development that has been one of the most enquired on developments on Apartments.com.au in the last few months.</p>

<p><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/rO1K7t6GOgY?si=pwmYyqjNBBzjMNeb" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe></p>

<p>Watersone sales agent Paul Marrum says the orientation of the building was key to Sekisui's wider design philosophy.</p>

<p>“Waterstone has been orientated to face south, capturing views over Newland’s Park and back to the Sydney CBD," Marrum says.</p>

<p>"This deliberate positioning, alongside 30 per cent of the site dedicated to open space designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/aspect-studios">Aspect Studios</a>, roots the project in the developer’s Satoyama philosophy - prioritising balance between the built environment and its surrounding ecosystem."</p>

<p>On offer are a mix of one-, two-, three-, and four-bedroom apartments, with many including&nbsp;multi-purpose rooms to accommodate shifting lifestyle needs, from work-from-home professionals to growing families and downsizers.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134191 project_image_fid=234]</p>

<p>“Every apartment is open plan, with interiors flowing to balconies or courtyards," Marrum adds.</p>

<p>"The material palette reinforces this flow: soft-toned tactile stone, fluted glass cabinetry, and warm timber joinery work together to create what he describes as a “refined but relaxed atmosphere.”</p>

<p>There’s a distinct human scale to Waterstone’s design. The community is shaped as a network of boutique buildings threaded by a ‘green spine’, a landscape feature that invites movement, reflection, and connection.</p>

<p>Marrum highlights the presence of sensory gardens and native planting throughout, signalling an approach that enhances both wellness and biodiversity.&nbsp;Yet Waterstone doesn’t forgo amenity for serenity however. Residents will have access to a heated outdoor pool and spa, infrared sauna, co-working lounge, fully equipped gym, and even dedicated resident workspaces.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134191 project_image_fid=231]</p>

<p>Waterstone will rise from a prime Berry Road site ideally located near the green Newlands Park but also a short walk to the hear of both St Leonards and Crows Nest, two transport nodes with bus, train, and Sydney Metro lines connecting to the rest of Sydney.</p>

<p>Construction is slated to begin in mid-2025, with completion targeted for late 2027.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134191]</p>


Inside Waterstone St Leonards: Apartments.com.au Video Spotlight

<p>Off the plan buyers at Altona's newest apartment development Voyage, are soon to take their keys, with&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/spacious-property-development-group-pty-ltd">Spacious Property Development Group</a>&nbsp;approaching completion of the contemporary, coastal building.</p>

<p>Farey &amp; Co can now take prospective buyers through a fully-furnished display apartment on appointment as construction approaches its final stages.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112195 project_image_fid=3286]</p>

<p>Situated just 13 kilometres from Melbourne’s CBD, Voyage Altona beachside apartment development offers a rare opportunity to live moments from the sand, pier, and thriving village life of Pier Street.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/voyage-altona-102-106-pier-street-altona-vic-3018">Voyage</a> is the only new apartment offering currently on the market in <a>Altona</a>. Comprising one, two, and three-bedroom residences, it has been thoughtfully designed to appeal to a broad spectrum of buyers, from first home purchasers to downsizers and lifestyle-focused owner-occupiers.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Prices start from just over $500,000 for one-bedroom apartments, with three-bedroom configurations topping out just over the $1 million mark.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112195 project_image_fid=2145]</p>

<p>Voyage's architecture, by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cheah-saw-architecture">Cheah Saw Architecture</a>, is defined by an asymmetrical façade and a refined palette that echoes the surrounding coastal tones.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Inside, a minimalist design language prevails, with full-height glazing inviting expansive views over Port Phillip Bay and hybrid timber flooring grounding the open-plan layouts.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Kitchens are appointed with premium Miele appliances and stone finishes, while the bathrooms feature porcelain tiles and walk-in glass showers.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112195 project_image_fid=3287]</p>

<p>Voyage's location on Pier Street places residents at the heart of the suburb’s major activity centre. <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/altona-vic-3018">Altona</a> Station, Altona Beach, and a diverse mix of cafes and shops are all within walking distance.&nbsp;</p>

<p>With the final release now selling, Spacious is offering buyers the chance to secure their future home with just a five per cent deposit, a move that lowers the barrier to entry and positions Voyage as one of the most accessible premium new builds on Melbourne’s bayside fringe.</p>

<p>Spacious Property Development Group collaborated with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/valeo-construction">Valeo Construction</a> to bring this vision to life. The development has advanced significantly, with interior fit-outs and communal landscaping well underway.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Completion is targeted for Q3 2025, with some buyers expected to move in by September.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112195]</p>


Completion is targeted for Q3 2025, with some buyers expected to move in by September

Buyers to move into Voyage Altona this Spring

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/beulah">Beulah</a>&nbsp;has unveiled its latest release of exclusive homes in its sustainable Brunswick townhouse development, Brunswick Established.</p>

<p>The collection, known as ‘The Courtyard House’, has been created in collaboration with Six Degrees Architects to meet the evolving needs of modern families.&nbsp;</p>

<p>With a central courtyard at its heart, the design reimagines the possibilities of multi-generational living, blending flexibility, sustainability and personalisation within a heritage setting. Distinct from a traditional garden, the courtyard delivers natural light, fresh air and a generous sense of space, without the upkeep of a backyard.</p>

<p>Comprised of 23 two-storey townhouses, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/brunswick-established-23-hodgson-st-brunswick-vic-3056">Brunswick Established</a> offers multiple typologies of townhomes to suit different living requirements, allowing residents to grow in place - majority include ground-floor bedrooms for accessibility, while others, known as the ‘The Courtyard House’, provide a unique, flexible detached space separated by a courtyard.</p>

<p>Responsible for both the architecture and interior design, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/six-degrees-architects">Six Degrees</a>’ holistic approach enabled the team to ensure an intrinsic link between the design outcomes; a seamless, harmonious flow from the outside to within.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=136451 project_image_fid=275571]</p>

<p>“The modern home should flow from inside to outside - the courtyard provides a space which joins the different parts of the home together as the central outside space of the home,” explains Six Degrees Director, Peter Malatt.</p>

<p>“The courtyard is a model used since ancient times, transforming the home from an object within a space to an object enclosing space. It acts as both the visual and social heart of the home, a space to gather, reflect, or simply pause, offering a moment of calm within a busy urban context."</p>

<p>“Courtyards also offer a deeply cultural and emotional resonance, with their timeless presence across human history. They connect us to the past, while shaping how we live today</p>

<p>Malatt says the courtyard also operates as a micro-climate, which can retain heat in winter and be a shaded haven in summer.</p>

<p>"The ability to take warmed or cooled air into the home from the courtyard space is a great way to improve internal health and minimise energy use through heating and cooling. In a compact urban environment like Brunswick, courtyards are also a clever solution - bringing light, greenery and nature into denser living formats while maintaining a strong sense of privacy and connection."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=136451 project_image_fid=270371]</p>

<p>This concept resonated strongly with early downsizers who recently purchased one of the Courtyard homes at Brunswick Established for themselves and their two adult sons, aged 21 and 24.</p>

<p>“We’re excited to have a home that gives us flexibility as our lives evolve, whether it’s our sons living with us as they finish university, or us being able to lock up and travel. Having separate spaces connected by the courtyard is perfect for our family dynamic, especially as we value our independence but also want to stay close,” they shared.</p>

<p>The couple, who also share their home with two dogs and two cats, highlighted the benefits of multi-generational living in a courtyard home.</p>

<p>“Our sons help care for the pets, we enjoy cooking and spending time together, and the courtyard means we have light, greenery, and privacy all in one. We love that Brunswick Established has thought about sustainability and customisation in such a detailed way, it’s rare to find that in a project.”</p>

<p>Beulah’s approach to design customisation at Brunswick Established, allowing residents to adapt layouts to their lifestyle, has been a major drawcard for buyers seeking homes that evolve alongside them. The detached living space offers flexibility to suit changing needs, whether as a studio, guest retreat, or home office, while maintaining a close link to the main residence, allowing family members to come together or enjoy privacy when needed.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=136451 project_image_fid=275570]</p>

<p>Malatt added that the&nbsp;homes have been designed for residents’ well-being, allowing couples and families to ‘grow’ in their own homes while ensuring they meet their needs for generations to come.</p>

<p>"Purchasers usually experience multiple lifestyle stages within one home, and we’re looking forward to seeing these unique homes come to life."</p>

<p>As part of this forward-thinking approach, Beulah will also host an exclusive event, The Property Market Decanted, on Wednesday 27 August at The Commons Café &amp; Cocktail Bar, Melbourne. The evening will feature insights from leading property and finance experts on Melbourne’s market outlook and long-term wealth creation strategies, particularly for multi-generational households.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=136451]</p>


Beulah release sustainable courtyard townhouse collection at Brunswick Established

<p>Hampton's High Street offers the best of both worlds; halfway between Hampton Beach and Hampton Station, with a myriad of cafes and shops on its doorstep.</p>

<p>It was this unbeatable combination of convenience and connectivity that attracted Nash Project Management to secure a prime site on the corner of Hampton and Holyrood Streets several years ago.</p>

<p>The result is <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/holyrood-hampton-451-461-hampton-street-hampton-vic-3188">Holyrood &amp; Hampton</a>, a newly completed residential development comprising 59 premium apartments set above a full-line Coles supermarket, enhancing the day-to-day ease for residents.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4629 project_image_fid=1530]</p>

<p>Those who have already moved into Holyrood &amp; Hampton have highlighted several standout features of their new home, with the location topping the list.</p>

<p>Hampton Station on the Sandringham line (Zone 2), is just down Hampton Street, offering regular services to Flinders Street Station. Multiple bus routes connect to Southland, St Kilda, and Berwick, while scenic cycling paths along the bay provide a relaxing alternative for commuters and weekend riders.</p>

<p>A short walk west leads to Picnic Point and Hampton Beach, beloved for its clean sand and family- and dog-friendly spaces. Ferdinando Gardens, near the pier, is perfect for picnics, while coastal walking trails offer peaceful views and breezes.</p>

<p>The surrounding green spaces—Castlefield Reserve, Triangle Gardens, and Hampton High Reserve—offer playgrounds, sports fields, and a sense of calm. Golfers have several options nearby, including Brighton Public Golf Course just a short drive away.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4629 project_image_fid=1528]</p>

<p>Hampton Street remains the heart of the community, with more than 50 fashion boutiques, cafés, and eateries. A Woolworths anchors the retail strip, while independent shops help maintain its village charm.</p>

<p>Health and community services are easily accessible, with local GPs, dental clinics, and the nearby Sandringham Community Hospital, supported by larger hospitals in Brighton and Cheltenham.</p>

<p>Families are well catered to, with top private and public schools within a 1–2 km radius. These include Haileybury College, St Leonards College, Firbank Grammar, Brighton Grammar, Hampton Primary, and Brighton Secondary College.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4629 project_image_fid=1532]</p>

<p>The apartments have been designed for longevity, with spacious, home-like layouts. Many include butler’s pantries, oversized kitchen islands, and quality finishes.</p>

<p>Additional features such as a rooftop terrace, EV charging, secure storage, and direct supermarket access support a highly functional and low-maintenance lifestyle.</p>

<p>Designed by Telha Clarke, Holyrood &amp; Hampton reflects how people want to live today—connected, walkable, and move-in ready.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4629]</p>


Those who have already moved into Holyrood & Hampton have highlighted several standout features of their new home, with the location topping the list.

Holyrood & Hampton presents a walkable, Bayside lifestyle in the heart of Hampton

Migration

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<p> It's been suggested that trends in migration from Australia towards Australia might bode ill for our economy, a kind of pseudo-recession indicator if you will.</p>
<p>Certainly, there had been a significant increase in those migrating permanently of for the long term across the Tasman - many of whom were originally Kiwis returning home.</p>
<div id="post-body-6341683202076112219" class="post-body entry-content">
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<br><div>It's not too hard to see why these trends developed.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>New Zealand had been running a much higher unemployment rate than Australia while we were still enjoying the spoils of a heady resources construction boom.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But then as the mining construction boom passed its peak in Australia, opportunities for employment here declined, and the unemployment rate ticked higher - just as NZ was being anointed with its "rock star economy" status.</div>
<br><a href="/images/2016/06/28/NZ2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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<div>Unfortunately New Zealand's one-time rock star economy rather seems to have rocked itself out.<br><br>In fact, NZ now has a higher unemployment rate than Australia, after an odd-looking blip last in the quarter before last.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Now there isn't all that much to pick between either economy.<br><br>Both have indicators of under-employment, under-utilisation and weakened commodity prices (here it's mainly bulk commodities, over there, dairy).<br><br>And both countries are looking to tourism and international student migration to paper over the cracks.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It looks as though the trend in net migration having tilted sharply in favour of New Zealand has now reached something approaching equilibrium. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>In fact in April there was a small seasonally adjusted net flow back in favour Australia. </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/06/28/NZ2-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/06/28/NZ2-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>In truth, whether 100 or so people decide to head this way or that will have little bearing on the health or otherwise of Australia's economy going forward.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>About 60 per cent of permanent migrants to Australia now hail from Asia.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>And with our international student visa rules to be relaxed significantly from 1 July this trend will be reinforced, with a high share of the new applicants expected to be from China and India.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

About 60 percent of permanent migrants to Australia now hail from Asia: Pete Wargent

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p>As at June 2018, an estimated 17,650,130 residents of Australia were born in Australia.</p>
<p>While this might seem like a high number, it shows that 29.4% of residents were born overseas. Based on data from the ABS, which dates back to 1996, this is the highest share of residents born overseas on record.</p>
<p>It also shows that over 2017-18, Australian born residents increased by 1.1%, overseas born residents increased in population by a much larger 2.8%. While that figure is high, it was down from 3.3% over the previous year.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/11/CL%20PP%20Population%201.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p>Harking back to colonial times, England remains the largest source of residents that were born overseas. In fact, almost 1 million residents were born in England, which accounts for 13.5% of all Australian residents that were born overseas. The top 10 countries of birth accounted for 54.8% of all residents that were born overseas as at June 2018.</p>
<p>Another interesting point of note is that migration from certain countries has clearly slowed.</p>
<p>The number of persons born in England peaked at 1,012,780 persons in 2013, consistently falling to its current level. The number of persons born in New Zealand also peaked in 2013 at 585,390, as did persons born in Scotland (142,360) and persons born in Italy (200,670).</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/11/CL%20PP%20Population%202.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<p>While we have seen fewer residents born in in these countries over the past five years, there has been a significant rise in persons born in China (432,400 in 2013) and India (378,480) over the same five-year period.</p>
<p>Twenty years ago, the top 10 countries of birth for residents born overseas accounted for 56.0% of all residents born overseas. Keep in mind that in 1998, a much lower number of residents were born overseas.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/11/CL%20PP%20Population%203.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<p>The makeup of the CoreLogic top 10 list 20 years ago is quite different to how it currently looks. China is now the second largest source of residents while 20 years ago it was the seventh largest.</p>
<p>India, which is now the third largest source of residents was the 12th largest source, Malaysia is now the ninth largest source and was the 13th largest source 2 decades ago and South Africa is now the seventh largest source of residents compared to 17th 20 years ago.</p>
<p>20 years ago, Greece was the sixth largest source of residents born overseas compared to 15th now, Germany was the eighth largest source compared to being 14th now and Netherlands was the 10th largest source compared to 25th now.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/11/CL%20PP%20Population%204.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<p>Although the Federal Government has recently announced that they are set to reduce the migration intake going forward, Australia is still set to be a very multicultural country.</p>
<p>Furthermore, demand for our education services, particularly from the world’s two most populous countries (China and India) is anticipated to remain high. As a result, expect even more residents of Chinese and Indian heritage to find their way to our shores over the coming years.</p>
<p>Similarly, those countries such as Scotland and Italy will likely see themselves fall out of the top 10 list over coming years with new countries of origin finding their way to the top 10 list.</p>
<p><em>CAMERON KUSHER is <span>head of research for the <em>Australian branch of</em></span> CoreLogic</em></p>
<p><em>Mr Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/taxonomy/corelogic-people/cameron-kusher" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.</em></p>
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Increasing numbers of overseas migrants: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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<p>Interstate migration to Queensland is picking up again as expected as folks head north from crowded and pricey Sydney, but it was the record interstate migration to Victoria which really shot the lights out over the year to September. </p>
<p>The driver of this is clear, since Victoria alone has been creating almost all of Australia's jobs lately.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/24/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div id="post-body-1155932946791358378" class="post-body entry-content">
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<br>Net overseas migration also accelerated into Sydney, Melbourne, and south east Queensland.</div>
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<br><div>As a result the most populous states are mopping up a huge share of population growth, with New South Wales and Victoria alone accounting for 68 percent of the population increase, and Queensland a further 19 percent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/24/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/24/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>Absolute population growth increased to 67,700 in Queensland and a massive 109,600 in New South Wales - mainly into Greater Sydney - but Victoria is breaking demographic records not seen since the gold rush, with the total population exploding 127,500 higher over the year to September. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/24/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/24/A6.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>Here are those same numbers looked at over the past three years, with South Australia and Western Australia losing momentum, and the largest capital cities gaining population growth at their expense. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/24/A7.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/24/A7.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The massive headcount growth into Melbourne in particular explains why residential housing vacancy rates have been falling, close to a decade low at the last count.<br><br>
</div>
<div>Despite many new tower blocks adorning the skyline, a record supply of small apartments has only partially absorbed a vast surge in migration to the Victorian capital.</div>
<div> </div>
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<p class="p1"><span class="s1">PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/"><span class="s2">AllenWargent</span></a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/"><span class="s2">blogger</span></a>.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s3"><em>His latest book is </em><a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx"><span class="s2"><em>Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
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Melbourne crowned king of jobs and growth

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<p>Annual migration to New Zealand hit its highest annual level on record in November 2016 at 70,400. </p>
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<p>Australia saw a net loss of permanent and long term 1,830 departures to NZ over the year - mainly Kiwis returning home - although over the last six years the cumulative gain to Australia has been more than 116,000. </p>
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<br><div class="separator">Although it's tempting to think that Australia is losing population to New Zealand, in reality the opposite is true.</div>
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<div class="separator">In fact, an extra 16,000 Kiwis came to Australia on 444 visas on a net basis over the year, taking the total storming past 677,000. </div>
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<div class="separator">The big drivers of migration to NZ are now China and South Africa. </div>
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<br>NZ still has a lower unemployment rate than Australia, which is very much helping its cause.</div>
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<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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NZ migration highest on record: Pete Wargent

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<p>Sydney’s fast pace population growth is set to come to an abrupt halt. The recent closing of borders and after the restrictions that will follow the COVID-19 pandemic will stop most of it.</p>
<p>For the past half century demand for housing and the accompanying property price growth has been driven in part by population growth.</p>
<p>The latest government estimates suggest the key driver is going to fall sharply over the next year or so.</p>
<p>The disruption will show up in many ways.</p>
<p>Short term tourists have disappeared, but will return.</p>
<p>The weakness in short-term tourist arrivals will hit the domestic tourism industry, though will likely be offset in part by more Australians travelling at home when domestic travel restrictions are lifted in stage two.</p>
<p>Large numbers of temporary residents from overseas have departed, but only a trickle will return any time soon. Ditto temporary working visas.</p>
<p>The fall in numbers of international students on visas will likely not see a return to recent levels anytime over the coming year.</p>
<p>The downward pressure on rental price growth that landlords have seen in recent weeks will likely be extended unless Australia’s sustained comparative advantage as an education and tourism destination returns quickly.</p>
<p>The Government estimates long-term migration arrivals could fall by around 300,000 over the next 18 months, with a drop of 72,000 in the first half of this calendar year and another 204,000 in the 2020/21 financial year.</p>
<p>According to UBS Australia's population growth is forecast to slow to just 0.5 percent in 2020.</p>
<p>This is the slowest pace since 1916, according to economists.</p>
<p>The recent average has been between 1.5 percent to 2 percent per year.</p>
<p>Scott Haslem at <span>Cretonne Wealth Management says a</span>t the positive end a temporary pullback in migration flows could provide some time for infrastructure works to "catch up" over the next 18 months.</p>
<p>But for residential housing, the weakness in migration is a significant headwind.</p>
<p>UBS estimates there will be a fall in underlying annual housing demand from around 200,000 to only around 130,000 in the near term - before recovering towards 190,000 by the end of 2022.</p>
<p>This drop in dwelling commencements will mean fewer tradies in work which spells wider problems for the economy.</p>
<p>Construction has continued during the shutdown so employment has not yet been impacted like many other industries.</p>
<p>Lower population growth, from fewer arrivals from overseas, will be accompanied by an emerging drop in the nation's fertility rate currently averaging 1.7 children per couple.</p>
<p>Births falling by 2 per cent to 91,376 in NSW last year.</p>
<p class="selectionShareable">We are set to enter an ongoing debate especially on the role of <span>temporary migration.</span></p>
<p class="selectionShareable"><span>Temporary migration is certain to look different over the next few years than it has over past few. </span></p>
<p class="selectionShareable"><span>That’s its purpose – to adapt to changing circumstances, Monash academic <span class="fn author-name">Gabriela D'Souza recently noted</span></span>.</p>
<p class="selectionShareable">But the Investec fund manager Graeme Katz recently warned pushing back against immigration as a “seriously short sighted view”.</p>
<p class="selectionShareable">“Our country needs to send a signal that we’re open for people, we’re open for capital, and we’re open for business, and provide the productive environment for job creation and growth,” he said.</p>
<p class="selectionShareable">“Only growth will provide the environment for job security, which in turn creates a confidence of consumers to spend and the multiplier flow on ... will provide a tax base to support a well-balanced economy and society,” he said.</p>
<p class="selectionShareable"><em>This article first appeared in </em>The Daily Telegraph</p>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Sydney's population growth set for abrupt Covid-19 induced halt

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<p class="legacy">Australians are among the most mobile populations in the world. More than 40% of us change address every five years, about twice the global average. Yet the level of internal migration – moving within Australia – has gone down over the past four decades.</p>
<p>The proportion of Australians changing state of residence <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Lookup/by%20Subject/2071.0%7E2016%7EMain%20Features%7EPopulation%20Shift:%20Understanding%20Internal%20Migration%20in%20Australia%7E69" target="_blank">fell by 20%</a> between 1981 and 2016, particularly after 1991. Their movement between regions within states – between, say, Brisbane and Mackay – <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Lookup/by%20Subject/2071.0%7E2016%7EMain%20Features%7EPopulation%20Shift:%20Understanding%20Internal%20Migration%20in%20Australia%7E69" target="_blank">dropped by a whopping 25%</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/323130/original/file-20200326-168918-jmxrg6.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:</p>
<p><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/323130/original/file-20200326-168918-jmxrg6.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/323130/original/file-20200326-168918-jmxrg6.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a></p>
<p><span class="attribution"><span class="source">Data: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 1981-2016</span>, <span class="license">Author provided</span></span></p>
<p>The decline in migration is a feature of a number of <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.routledge.com/Internal-Migration-in-the-Developed-World-Are-we-becoming-less-mobile/Champion-Cooke-Shuttleworth/p/book/9781472478061" target="_blank">advanced economies</a>, including the United States. Policymakers have been concerned this trend heralds a less flexible economy where workers do not move to regions with jobs. If that’s the case, it could prolong recessions and reduce growth.</p>
<p>So why are Australians moving less? Several factors might help explain it.</p>
<h2>Australia is getting older</h2>
<p>Population ageing is one of the main explanations because older people move less than young people. It’s enough to account for 20-30% of the decline in internal migration in Australia.</p>
<p>However, the increase in the share of mobile groups – such as renters, tertiary-educated people and recently arrived immigrants – has <a href="https://qcpr.files.wordpress.com/2020/03/qcpr_working-paper_kalemba-et-al-2020.pdf" target="_blank">fully compensated</a> the downward effect of population ageing. This means the net effect on migration levels of changes in the composition of the Australian population is close to null.</p>
<p>So the decline is not the result of overall changes in population composition. It is the result of deeper behavioural changes. People in their 20s, 30s and 40s are simply moving less today than in the past.</p>
<h2>Working arrangements have changed</h2>
<p>Information and communication technology and the changes in working arrangements brought by the internet are often thought to have contributed to lower migration levels. But, the proportion of individuals who telework remains small. <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Aude_Bernard/publication/339899498_Decline_in_internal_migration_levels_in_Australia_Compositional_or_behavioural_effect/links/5e6b3077a6fdccf321d93834/Decline-in-internal-migration-levels-in-Australia-Compositional-or-behavioural-effect.pdf" target="_blank">Only 5%</a> of the Australian workforce worked from home at the 2016 census.</p>
<p>Perhaps more significant is the increase in dual-income households. They now account for two-thirds of couples compared with 56% in 2001. Because these couples find it more challenging to jointly relocate than traditional male-breadwinner families, this shift <a href="https://qcpr.files.wordpress.com/2020/03/qcpr_working-paper_kalemba-et-al-2020.pdf" target="_blank">explains about 10%</a> of the decline in interstate migration in Australia.</p>
<p>Despite these transformations, the mix of reasons for moving hasn’t changed over the past 15 years. Australians still move mainly for family and work reasons.</p>
<p>So, what is going on?</p>
<p><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/323142/original/file-20200326-168889-xy3fj2.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:</p>
<p><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/323142/original/file-20200326-168889-xy3fj2.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/323142/original/file-20200326-168889-xy3fj2.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a></p>
<p><span class="attribution"><span class="source">Authors’ calculations using Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey data</span>, <span class="license">Author provided</span></span></p>
<h2>Place attachment plays a part</h2>
<p>In the United States, this downward trend has been linked to “<a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/psp.670" target="_blank">rootedness</a>”, the idea that individuals have become more attached their families and communities and are therefore less inclined to relocate.</p>
<p>Such concepts are difficult to measure and quantify. Yet a <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/psp.2225" target="_blank">2019 study</a> showed that Australians with strong place attachment and social networks are less likely to migrate, particularly over long distances. But it is not clear how place attachment has changed over time and whether it has contributed to the decline in internal migration.</p>
<h2>Young people are staying put</h2>
<p>We know young people are moving less than they used to. In 2017, <a href="https://theconversation.com/over-50-of-young-australian-adults-still-live-with-their-parents-and-the-numbers-are-climbing-faster-for-women-120587" target="_blank">56% of Australians below the age of 30</a> were still living at home compared with 47% in 2001. Explanations for this trend include increasing housing costs and delayed union formation.</p>
<p>The consequences not only bring down current migration levels but also in the future. This is because <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/psp.2286" target="_blank">migration is self-reinforcing</a>: having moved in the past increases the chances of moving again. So, young adults who are staying put now are less likely to move later because they have not been exposed early in life to the challenges of relocating.</p>
<p>This means the level of migration in Australia is likely to remain low, but this downward trend may level off as we have seen in the <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437119316875" target="_blank">United States</a>.</p>
<h2>Is this new low a problem?</h2>
<p>There is no evidence Australians are less willing to relocate for their jobs, so this downward trend should not have major impacts on the economy.</p>
<p>What is more concerning is <a href="https://qcpr.files.wordpress.com/2020/03/qcpr_working-paper_kalemba-et-al-2020.pdf" target="_blank">some groups have been affected</a> more than others, particularly those in part-time work and in low-paid sectors such as retail and trade. These workers are less mobile than in the past and their share in the workforce has increased.</p>
<p>Individuals with limited resources face <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://digital.lib.washington.edu/researchworks/handle/1773/38220" target="_blank">greater difficulties</a> in being mobile, particularly when faced with rising housing costs and stagnant wages. We need to ensure Australia does not evolve toward a two-tier migration system, in which some can afford to move and others are “trapped”. This could, in the long term, reinforce socio-economic inequalities.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/133767/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;"></p>
<p><span><a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/aude-bernard-316886" target="_blank">Aude Bernard</a>, Lecturer, Queensland Centre for Population Research, <em><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/the-university-of-queensland-805" target="_blank">The University of Queensland</a></em> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/sunganani-v-kalemba-997197" target="_blank">Sunganani V. Kalemba</a>, PhD candidate, <em><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/the-university-of-queensland-805" target="_blank">The University of Queensland</a></em></span></p>
<p>This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/australians-are-moving-home-less-why-and-does-it-matter-133767" target="_blank">original article</a>.</p>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Australians are moving home less. Why? And does it matter?

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<p>GUEST OBSERVATION</p>
<p>According to the United Nations, more people live in a <a href="https://www.un.org/en/sections/issues-depth/migration/index" target="_blank">country other than their place of birth</a> today than ever before.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/migration/publications/migrationreport/docs/MigrationReport2017_Highlights.pdf" target="_blank">2017 migration statistics</a> show that about 34 people out of every 1,000 lived away from their place of birth. This number was over 31 in 2010, and 28 in 2000.</p>
<p>Although the <a href="https://refugeesmigrants.un.org/migration-compact" target="_blank">number of migrants is expected to grow</a>, a clear understanding of contemporary migration remains a challenge.</p>
<p><strong>Defining who is a migrant</strong></p>
<p>This challenge was on display at <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/south-asian-media-we-need-to-talk-more-with-refugees-and-not-just-report-about-them/a-48356819" target="_blank">a recent meeting</a> where a group of South Asian journalists, academics and activists gathered to address the core issue of migration.</p>
<p>Officially, the <a href="https://www.un.org/en/sections/issues-depth/migration/index" target="_blank">number of migrants</a> globally reached 258 million in 2017, compared to about 173 million in 2000, which represents an increase of 49%. But it remains difficult to determine with reasonable clarity who is a migrant and who is not. The multiple identities of people on the move complicate migration statistics and generate controversy.</p>
<p>One of the speakers, Chris Lowenstein-Lom from the International Organisation of Migration (<a href="https://www.iom.int/" target="_blank">IOM</a>), presented an overview of migration scenarios in South Asia to highlight the sheer number of migrants in the region, both internally and internationally. Many participants questioned the validity of the figures.</p>
<p>Journalists raised questions about the migration data gathered by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (<a href="https://www.un.org/development/desa/en/" target="_blank">UN DESA</a>) and IOM. The figures either contradicted their lived experience (for example, the number of Indian-origin people living in Pakistan, and vice versa) or overlooked the historical context of certain migrants (for example those of Bangladeshi-origin in India).</p>
<p>The IOM representative’s insistence on his organisation’s goal of “safe, regular and orderly” movement of people across borders resonated with other participants. They emphasised that improving data quality is important for achieving safe passage of migrants.</p>
<p><strong>Difficulties with migration data</strong></p>
<p>Concerns about accuracy and clarity of migration statistics were raised concerning both data collection methods and interpretation. For example, the ranking of countries by the number of migrants shifts dramatically with a change in definition.</p>
<p>The highest number of immigrants (over 48 million) live in the United States, which constitutes 15% of the country’s population. However, the highest proportion of immigrants to a population (87%) live in the United Arab Emirates, which is only eight million in number. The highest number of migrants (nearly 16 million) originate from India, which is only 1.2% of the country’s population. But the highest proportion of migrants to a country’s population (45.6%) is in Bosnia and Herzegovina, which is only two million.</p>
<p>Any statistical generalisation about migrants requires significant qualification. Political perspectives on who is or is not a bona fide migrant vary significantly between countries. As a result, the figures produced to represent certain sections of the migrant population can become cloudy or even opaque.</p>
<p>For example, many Indian politicians label the Bangla-speaking Muslim population in northeast India as migrants from Bangladesh. But from the Bangladeshi perspective, most of these people can hardly be considered as such because they had lived in their current location since well before the state of Bangladesh was created in 1971.</p>
<p>Similarly, in the early stage of the 2017 influx of Rohingya people to Bangladesh, this definitional opacity created confusion about their status. Were they returnees, refugees or infiltrators? This lack of clarity in legal status has the potential to render a <a href="https://odihpn.org/magazine/statelessness-identity-rohingya-refugee-crisis/" target="_blank">vast number of people stateless</a>.</p>
<p>On the other hand, the refugee status of the Afghani people in Pakistan has been relatively clear to many sides, even though the identity of a specific individual can still be problematic.</p>
<p><strong>Challenge to report on migration</strong></p>
<p>These differences create a challenge for South Asian journalists to report accurately on migration issues.</p>
<p>Consider the following figures: According to the <a href="/news">UN DESA 2017 estimate</a>, 33.5 million people moved out of five South Asian countries (Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka) while 11.7 million people lived in these countries as migrants.</p>
<p>The largest number of migrants in South Asia were from neighbouring countries, such as from Myanmar to Bangladesh (42% of the total 2.2 million immigrants in the country), from Afghanistan to Pakistan (1.4 million out of the total 3.4 million), and from Pakistan and Bangladesh to India (together, 81% of the total 5.2 million immigrants).</p>
<p>According to this estimate, about 60% of the 5.2 million migrants in India were from Bangladesh. But this estimate was based mainly on population data produced by India. Bangladeshi officials and experts had reservations about this figure because, they claimed, the historical dimension mentioned above had been overlooked in its calculation.</p>
<p><strong>Consequences of data opacity</strong></p>
<p>One can easily imagine the difficulties faced by journalists in busy newsrooms with limited resources. They need to report on complex migration issues and are expected to report them accurately, without a clear definition about who is and is not a migrant. Would you label Rohingya people in Bangladesh as “returnees”, following the Myanmar authorities? Or would you use the “infiltrator” description, as Bangladeshi officials initially identified them?</p>
<p>Some of this confusion may be clarified over time, but others continue to bug journalists and other commentators. The lack of a clear definition exists not only in South Asia.</p>
<p>Despite the <a href="https://www.spiegel.de/international/world/why-global-migration-statistics-do-not-add-up-a-1090736" target="_blank">well-founded criticisms</a> levelled against the <a href="/news">UN data on migration</a>, they remain the most widely used set of figures globally. Other organisations and mechanisms of data distribution, such as IOM or the Migration Data Portal also use them.</p>
<p>An important characteristic of the data set is its origin. They are mainly produced through official <a href="/news">population censuses</a> by the respective member states, using public money. Everyone has a stake in improving the quality of these data for a better understanding of the complexity of South Asian and global migration.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/114443/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;"></p>
<p><em><strong>Akhteruz Zaman</strong>, Lecturer, Massey University</em></p>
<p><em><strong>Jahnnabi Das</strong>, , University of Technology Sydney</em></p>
<p><em>This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/migration-is-a-growing-issue-but-it-remains-a-challenge-to-define-who-actually-is-a-migrant-114443" target="_blank">original article</a>.</em></p>
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Migration is a growing issue, but it remains a challenge to define who actually is a migrant

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p>More people are deciding to call Australia home – if not permanently, at least for longer than a year. The lift in permanent and long-term arrivals reflects a perception of Australia as a great place to live and work – a country with a high standard of living and great opportunities.</p>
<p>Over 115,000 foreigners came to Australia as a “permanent or long-term arrival” in February. While February is seasonally a peak time for migrant inflows, the annual total of 844,800 is also a record high and up 11.4% on a year ago – the strongest growth in 20 months. </p>
<p>In February there were also 40,740 Aussies deciding to move overseas either permanently or for more than year – the lowest level in four months. Over the year to February the net number (arrivals less departures) of permanent and long-term arrivals hit a five-year high of almost 300,000 people. While studying, working or travelling, the ‘new Aussies’ will contribute to spending and demand for accommodation. </p>
<p>The new migrants boost employment in the short-term but provide the strongest contribution to economic output the longer that they are in their positions (as the case of all new employees). This highlights the fallacy of the recent ‘per capita’ discussion – more a reflection of a timing gap. </p>
<p><strong>Tourism</strong></p>
<p>Tourist arrivals rose by 0.9% in February, the strongest gain in five months. Aussie tourist departures fell by 3.3%, the biggest fall in almost two years. </p>
<p>Over the year, arrivals were up by 4% and departures were up by 3.7%. In February, tourists from Greater China (China and Hong Kong) totalled 141,800 (mainland China 115,600; Hong Kong 26,200), ahead of New Zealand (124,800). </p>
<p>China is the largest source of tourists to Australia. Over the past year a record 1,451,600 tourists came to Australia from China, up by 3.9%. </p>
<p>Tourists from New Zealand totalled 1,400,200 visitors over the past year, up by 3.0%. A record 364,300 Indian tourists travelled to Australia over the year to February, up by 16.7% on a year ago.</p>
<p>In February, there were record tourist inflows from New Zealand and India. And in the month a record number of Aussies travelled to India.</p>
<p><strong>Migration</strong> </p>
<p>In February there were 115,100 permanent and long-term arrivals in Australia. The annual number of permanent and long-term overseas arrivals rose to a record high of 844,800 in February, up by 7.3% over the year. </p>
<p>In February there were 40,740 permanent and long-term departures from Australia. The annual number of permanent and long-term overseas departures fell from 546,310 to 545,610 in February but were still up by 5.2% over the year. </p>
<p>Net permanent and long-term arrivals stood at a five-year high of 299,100 in the year to February, up 11.4% on the year.</p>
<p><strong>Chinese inflation</strong></p>
<p>Consumer prices rose by 2.3% in the year to March (forecast: +2.4%), after lifting by 1.5% in the year to February. It was the highest annual rate for consumer prices in five months </p>
<p>Consumer prices fell by 0.4% in March after rising 1.0% in February. Food prices fell by 0.9% to stand 4.1% higher than a year ago. Non-food prices fell by 0.2% to stand 1.8% higher than a year ago. </p>
<p>Producer prices rose by 0.4% in the year to March (forecast +0.4%), up from 0.1% in year to February.</p>
<p><strong>What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</strong> </p>
<p>Australia is rightly regarded as a great place for study, work and travel. The continued growth of short and longer term arrivals is good news for a raft of industries such as retailing, tourism and higher education. </p>
<p>The lift in Chinese inflation is encouraging as a weak economy would be more likely to have deflation issues. Chinese consumer price inflation is near a 2% annual rate, like a raft of economies at present.</p>
<p>CommSec expects the cash rate to remain unchanged for the foreseeable future.</p>
<p><em><strong>CRAIG JAMES</strong> is the Chief Economist of CommSec</em></p>
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