Investors

Investors are starting to make their way back in to the property market.

ABS figures at the start of the month showed that, over March, investor lending rose 12.7 per cent.

Victoria saw the second biggest commitment by investors, above the average and up 13.7 per cent, only second to Queensland (+19 per cent) and ahead of New South Wales (+13 per cent)

Check out which suburbs have been drawing the attention of investors on Urban&nbsp;in April.

1. Live City, Footscray

Price: Two-bedroom apartments from $460,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=3565 project_image_fid=68172]

Live City is a new addition to the list of most popular projects&nbsp;among investors however it has seen continuous interest among first home buyers

Part of a new master planned community, Live City comprises 208 residences spread across 14 floors, delivered by developer R&amp;F Property Australia.

Set to deliver over 1,400 apartments across eight buildings, the Footscray project brings together a fully-integrated, mixed-use community that’s thriving with character and history.

Designed by Elenberg Fraser, each residence features floor-to-ceiling windows, contemporary interiors and an abundance of natural light.

2. Ryrie Home, Geelong

Price: Two-bedroom apartments from $699,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5559 project_image_fid=88244]

Ryrie Homes was Urban's most popular investor project for Q1 2021 and this month's results show it's ongoing appeal, with Geelong's strong performance as one of the nation's most sought-after regional areas doing excellent work for this development.

Delivered by Franzé, each Ryrie Home apartment has been cleverly designed by Architectus to deliver great amenity, comfort and abundant storage, with timber flooring, beautiful finishes and quality fixtures.

Each apartment enjoys panoramic bay views and alfresco dining for year-round holiday living.

With the foreshore, 500m north and the CBD, 500m east—as well as parks, theatres, galleries, cafés and restaurants all within walking distance—Ryrie Home offers a level of culture and connection unmatched in Geelong.

Plus for first home buyers looking for something on the more affordable side, one-bedroom apartments start at $375,000.

3. Haven Townhomes,&nbsp;Keysborough

Price: Three-bedroom townhouses from $675,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=8082 project_image_fid=59639]

For those Investors seeking something larger Haven Townhomes has been very eye-catching with affordable and stylish three and four bedroom townhomes on offer

Brought to you by Aultun Group, the development was designed by Cera Stribley Architects.

The Haven estate encompasses a variety of two storey floor plans with the option of choosing a house and land package, or an off-the-plan purchase.

Situated surrounded by thriving wetlands and meandering walking trails, each of the 59 Haven Townhomes are in a prime position for stunning views, access to nature and world-class amenities.

It is set for completion in December 2021.

4. Melbourne Square, Southbank

Price: Two-bedroom apartments from $642,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=2929 project_image_fid=137896]

OSK Property are the group behind the boutique collection of homes at Melbourne Square.

Featuring four distinct themes, it has been architecturally designed by Cox Architecture, with interiors by designer Sue Carr, creating flawless spaces which make the most of the spectacular city views on offer.

Each bedroom boasts a stunning view via floor-to-ceiling glazing, plus the master suites offer a unique panoramic city vista.

Set for completion in mid 2021, amenities include a full-line Woolworths and other shops as well as resort-style facilities including pools, sauna, spa, gymnasium and a yoga room.

5. Sky Garden, Glen Waverley

Price: Two-bedroom apartments from $668,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=2881 project_image_fid=148737]

Sky Garden, the latest development by the diversified property group Golden Age, spans three towers across the new and improved The Glen shopping centre in Melbourne's Glen Waverley.

Famed architecture firm Rothelowman designed the three apartment buildings, soaring 12, 13 and 20 levels and homing 555 one, two and three-bedroom apartments,

The apartment development is part of the $430 million Glen redevelopment which completed construction in December 2020.

Sky Garden features over 4,000 square metres of internal and external facilities with one of the most impressive features unsurprisingly being the garden in the sky.

ABS figures at the start of the month showed that, over March, investor lending rose 12.7 per cent

jordan_55689

The most popular VIC projects for investors in April on Urban

One of the fastest-growing cities in Australia, the Gold Coast has become a great location for investors and homebuyers.

Its residential market is booming thanks to its breezy lifestyle and relaxed atmosphere perfect for families and professionals.

Despite a <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/news/qld/gold-coast-crane-watch-crane-numbers-decline-over-the-last-six-months" target="_blank">decline in crane numbers</a> over the last six months, the next six months is expected to see a flurry of sales as demand for apartments in the region continues to gather pace.

Broadbeach residents particularly have the best a suburb in Queensland has to offer, with a home in the laid-back beachside suburb that boasts all of the fun of the Gold Coast.

Many brand-new residences suitable for first home buyers, investors or downsizers offered at an affordable price point are available on the market now.

Urban takes a look at the top projects in Broadbeach. 
&nbsp;

1. Encore Broadbeach 
Address: 22 Albert Avenue, Broadbeach QLD 4218 
Two-bedroom apartments from $730,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=14827]

Delivered by family-developer Andrews Projects, Encore boasts a collection of 84 vibrant apartments footsteps from the ocean.

The two, three and four-bedroom apartments are designed by HHH Architects and feature oversized balconies with costal views.

Other amenities include a 25-metre heated lap pool, state-of-the-art gym, private sauna, residents&rsquo; lawn and barbeque facilities. 
&nbsp;

2. Koko Broadbeach 
Address: 12-14 Elizabeth Avenue, Broadbeach QLD 4218 
Two-bedroom apartments from $719,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6995]

Morris Property Group delivers 99 generous two and three-bedroom apartments at the vibrant Gold Coast development, Koko.

Inspired by the modern luxe of international boutique hotels, the residences feature modern fixtures, hotel-quality amenities and contemporary design.

A lap pool, modern gym facilities, private outdoor entertaining areas and gardens also feature at the project. 
&nbsp;

3. Opus, Broadbeach 
Address: 16-18 Chelsea Avenue, Broadbeach QLD 4218 
Two-bedroom apartments from $749,900

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6999]

Located in the heart of Broadbeach, Opus provides a great value apartment for investors and owner-occupiers.

Delivered by Morris Property Group, the 114-resident project features open-plan living and views over Surfers Paradise in two and three-bedroom configurations.

The resident also boasts access to a two-level recreation deck, featuring an open-air pool, landscaped yoga lawn and fully equipped gym. 
&nbsp;

4. Qube, Broadbeach 
Address: 2-4 Jubilee Avenue, Broadbeach QLD 4218 
Three-bedroom apartments from $1,495,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=8032]

Yet another Morris Property Group development, Qube rises 40 levels and delivers 202 residences in one, two and three-bedroom configurations. Although, only three-bedroom apartments remain.

The development features a vibrant retail plaza, residents&rsquo; recreation deck and additional storage.

Setting a new destination precinct for Broadbeach, homebuyers will also enjoy luxury finishes including oversized floor-to-ceiling tiles, wool-blend carpets and Parisi tapware.

The Gold Coast residential market is booming thanks to its breezy lifestyle and relaxed atmosphere perfect for families and professionals

max.kwok_55688

Top off the plan apartment developments in Broadbeach on the Gold Coast

The ongoing surge in home financing and purchasing as well as the rebound in home prices is being driven by a combination of record low mortgage rates, home buyer incentives and economic recovery.

This trend has been lead by the enormous surge in first home buyer lending which soared to record highs due primarily to incentives like the HomeBuilder Grant and other FHB stimuli like stamp duty discounts.

However investors have clearly now joined the stampede of buyers rushing housing markets, seeing an uptick in market share over February and March.

Check out what first home buyer&#39;s have been keeping an eye on in Q1, here are Urban&rsquo;s most popular FHB properties:

1. Ryrie Home, Geelong 
Address: 44 Ryrie Street, Geelong VIC 3220 
Two-bedroom apartments from $699,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5559]

Ryrie Homes has been Urban&#39;s most popular investor project for Q1 2021, with the demographic likely eyeing its huge potential to downsize later in life. Also Geelong&#39;s strong performance as one of the nation&#39;s most sought-after regional areas, a trend which has only been exacerbated due to COVID-19.

Geelong, one of Australia&rsquo;s fastest-growing regional cities by the water, also has an impressive vacancy rate of around 1.4 per cent across the region.

Delivered by Franz&eacute;, each Ryrie Home apartment has been cleverly designed by Architectus to deliver great amenity, comfort and abundant storage, with timber flooring, beautiful finishes and quality fixtures.

Each apartment enjoys panoramic bay views and alfresco dining for year-round holiday living.

With the foreshore, 500m north and the CBD, 500m east&mdash;as well as parks, theatres, galleries, caf&eacute;s and restaurants all within walking distance&mdash;Ryrie Home offers a level of culture and connection unmatched in Geelong.

Plus for investors looking for something on the more affordable side, one-bedroom apartments start at $375,000

2. Melbourne Square, Southbank 
93-119 Kavanagh Street, Southbank VIC 3006 
Two-bedroom apartments from $642,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=2929]

OSK Property are the group behind the&nbsp;boutique collection of homes at Melbourne Square.

Featuring four distinct themes, it has been architecturally designed by Cox Architecture, with interiors by designer Sue Carr, creating flawless spaces which make the most of the spectacular city views on offer.

Each bedroom boasts a stunning view&nbsp;via floor-to-ceiling glazing, plus the master suites offer a unique panoramic city vista.

Set for completion in mid 2021, amenities include a full-line Woolworths and other shops as well as resort-style facilities including pools, sauna, spa, gymnasium and a yoga room.

3.&nbsp;Marshal Place, Williams Landing 
Address: 1 Griffiths Street, St Albans VIC 3021 
Four-bedroom townhomes from $569,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=29660]

Ideal for investors Cedar Woods&rsquo; Marshal Place is a collection of beautiful three and four-bedroom townhomes, located just 20-kilometres from the Melbourne CBD and surrounded by parklands.

The four-bedroom townhouses start from an affordable $569,000 boasting contemporary design, light-filled living rooms and an engineered stone benchtop.

Just five of the homes remain, which offer turn-key and hassle-free options and are backed with a 25-year structural guarantee.

The homes are located in close proximity to Williams Landing town centre, Altona Beach and countless educational facilities from early learning centres to university campuses.&nbsp;

4. Sky Garden, Glen Waverley 
Address: 227&nbsp;Springvale Road, Glen Waverley VIC 3150 
Two-bedroom apartments from $668,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=2881]

Sky Garden, the latest development by the diversified property group Golden Age, spans three towers across the new and improved The Glen shopping centre in Melbourne&#39;s Glen Waverley.

Famed architecture firm Rothelowman designed the three apartment buildings, soaring 12, 13 and 20 levels and homing 555 one, two and three-bedroom apartments,

The apartment development is part of the $430 million Glen redevelopment which completed construction in December 2020.

Sky Garden features over 4,000 square metres of internal and external facilities with one of the most impressive features unsurprisingly being the garden in the sky.

5. Liberty One, Footscray 
Address: 1 Warde Street, Footscray VIC 3011 
Two-bedroom apartments from $630,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=709]

Liberty One, a Footscray development by Bensons Property Group, features 350 one and two-bedroom apartments from an affordable $396,000.

Designed by CHT Architects, the functional design boasts floor-to-ceiling windows, open-plan living space and private balconies, as well as amenities including a residents&rsquo; lounge, gym and outdoor cinema.

The development offers upgraded specifications with a host of &lsquo;smart home&rsquo; technology making every-day tasks seamless and easily controlled via your phone or tablet.&nbsp;

Plus premium oak floors, deluxe stone benchtop, gun-metal grey tap wear, high-end kitchen appliances add to the long list of quality inclusions.

Although the ongoing market surge has been primarily led by FHB's, investor interest has surged in February and March check out what they are interested in

Urban's most popular VIC apartments for investors in Q1 2021

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Rental demand for units is 23% higher year-on-year, according to the latest data from the realestatwe.com.au website.

Demand for house rentals is up by 11% on the same time last year, just as the worldwide pandemic became official.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=24422]

"Perhaps somewhat surprising given the current environment, but demand for units is 23% higher year-on-year with demand for houses up by less than half that, at 11% growth," Cameron Kusher, the executive manager of economic research at REA Group said.

This year the rental demand has fallen for five successive weeks.

<img alt="" height="1376" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/rea_rental_demand.jpg" width="1600">

The reasons Kusher advised on the emerging trend was "that we aren’t seeing the influx of overseas arrivals like we typically would at this time of year, as well as the fact that government incentives have driven a surge in purchasing activity from first home buyers, which may lead to reduced rental demand."

Rental demand fell by a further 1.1% last week, taking it to be 15.8 per cent lower than its historic peak.

Cameron Kusher said Tasmania and Australian Capital Territory were the only states in which rental demand increased over the past week.

While rental demand has trended lower over recent weeks, it remains 17% higher than it was a year.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90553]

After the seasonal early-January surge, two weeks ago Kusher noted demand would continue to trend lower over the coming weeks "as we exit the busiest time of the year for the rental market during the first quarter."

The REA Insights Rental Demand Index was relaunched last month.

While the original index measured the total volume of highly-engaged renter activity on realestate.com.au, it now measures the change in the number of people that are highly-engaged with properties listed for rent on realestate.com.au.

Someone is determined to be ‘highly engaged’ when they undertake a number of actions on a listing, these include but are not limited to; the number of visits to a listing, looking at the photos for a listing multiple times, saving the property, sharing the property and/or making an enquiry with the agent.
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Rental demand has now fallen for five successive weeks, after the seasonal early-January surge, but remains higher than last year, according to realestate.com.au data

jchancellor

Rental demand reducing, but remains higher than last year: REA

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CDMA Australia has completed the first apartment building of its multi-staged, master-planned community, Rosella Place in Rouse Hill.

The first nine-level building has 72 apartments with large balconies offering sweeping views of the surrounding countryside. There are just five apartments left for sale in the development.

When completed in late 2023, Rosella Place will comprise 352 apartments across five mid-rise buildings.

The development at 56 Cudgegong Road, Rouse Hill is located in Sydney’s rapidly-growing north-west and is just 100 metres from the newly opened Tallawong Metro Station.

CDMA Australia sales and marketing manager Jonathan Tan said Rosella Place is the ideal purchase for a young family looking to make their first property purchase at a price that suits their budget as well as local downsizers who are looking for zero maintenance.

<img alt="" height="933" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/cudgegong_rd_kitchen_.jpg" width="1200">

“Investors will also be drawn to this project attracted to capital growth prospects with the raft of major infrastructure projects coming up in Rouse Hill including the $250 million expansion of the Rouse Hill Town Centre, the new Tallawong Town Centre, the opening of the new Rouse Hill Hospital and the Hills District’s first university, Norwest University", Tan said.

“In as little as five years’ time, Rouse Hill will be a major new centre in Sydney’s north west, home to thousands of more residents but also supported by significant local infrastructure and amenities.”

The next release of apartments at Rosella Place will be launched to market in mid March.

Designed by local architects WMK, Rosella Place, named after the vibrantly coloured Australian bird which is native to the Rouse Hill area, is one of the first residential projects to get underway in the rapidly expanding north west which meets a need for affordable, high quality apartments in close proximity to transport links and new public amenities.

The next release of apartments at Rosella Place will be launched to market in mid March.

About the developer

CDMA is a strategic alliance between major international property development firm Lianfa (Group) Co., Ltd (core arm of Xiamen C&amp;D Co., Ltd) and highly regarded local developer Metro Award Group.
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Joel Robinson

Investors, downsizers and families to be drawn to new Rouse Hill community Rosella Place

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GUEST OBSERVER
Slow food, slow dancing and a slow, long-term view are advantageous for property investors and not simply because of capital appreciation. 
As there are significant commercial benefits available for property that is built and held for five – ten years, which add up to a significant saving and retained equity. 
A dollar saved is a dollar earned, but surprisingly, this saving is not common knowledge except for those who have been through enough property cycles to know. 
The ‘Build and Hold’ model – is an approach favoured by investor developers who know the cost of development and where the real savings are to be had. 
There is a new emerging force in the market, a different style of investor developer, who does not flip over projects quickly but is content to wait. This is a model that he says is gaining momentum given the low yield environment. 
There is a term at Goldman Sachs which is long term greedy, these people have investment plans mapped out for the next 10, 20 and 30 years. 
These are astute individuals who can pay more for sites because they take a long-term view with their assets. As they know there are significant savings to be had aside from capital appreciation, which adds up to a significant increase of their asset’s value. The benefits are: 
<ul>
<li>Depreciation benefits 3% (including 2.5% straight line on buildings and 10% straight line on plant and equipment</li>
<li>Sales Commission Costs 5%</li>
<li>Advertising and marketing savings 2% </li>
<li>GST saving if retained for 5 years 9% </li>
</ul>
There is a saving on gross sales value on the margin scheme for GST if the property is held (and not marketed) for an excess of 5 years. Astute investors look at a 10-year cash flow and generally find that mixed used developments offer up the best results.
The Build and Hold model does require the individual to have other cash flow, which normally requires the capacity to hold his or her assets and a significant balance sheet. There is also a formula that needs to be adhered to, to ensure a successful resale if the need arises.
For those considering to build and hold, I would recommend buying within 10 kilometres of the city. Some suggested locations would be Armadale, South Yarra, Windsor, St Kilda, St Kilda East, Malvern, East Melbourne and North Melbourne. The key is any hotspot where the underlying land value will continue to go up over a 10 year horizon given the scarcity of supply in those specific areas. I currently have 8 projects with clients ranging from 2-89 apartments/townhouses that have bought into this strategy and are currently being rolled out. 
 
 Andrew Fawell is director of Beller and can be contacted <a href="https://beller.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.  
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Build and hold: Beller's Andrew Fawell

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A return of investors to the market, coupled with a lack of listings, is tipped to increase property prices throughout Australia in 2021. 
CoreLogic research director Tim Lawless predicts property price increases of between 7 per cent and 10 per cent in 2021, with the smaller capital cities tipped to benefit the most. 
Mr Lawless said Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth were most likely to experience the strongest price growth this year. 
He said Sydney and Melbourne property price growth is not expected to be at the same level and it would be more concentrated in the suburban housing market rather than the inner-city apartment market. 
Mr Lawless said a lack of listings would continue to drive the property market within the next few months. 
“While listings started to lift at the end of 2020, they are still 21 per cent lower than at the same time the previous year,” he said. 
“I think it will remain subdued throughout January and maybe into February. My guess is demand will continue to outweigh supply and that will be one of the recipes for higher prices. Investors will become more active in 2021.” 
His predictions are backed by a national survey done on behalf of Custodian which found 19 per cent of people who already owned an investment property planned to buy in 2021, while 6 per cent of respondents had decided they would buy their first investment property in 2021. 
It found 22 per cent of investors had put off buying an investment property in 2020 because of COVID. 
Mr Lawless said while 2020 had been a volatile year it was more in relation to transaction numbers rather than a drop in property prices. 
“The number of properties selling nationally fell 40 per cent in April, but they did start to lift in the second half of 2020,” he said. 
“Dwelling values were pretty resilient, there were fewer buyers and also fewer sellers. 
“Peak to trough values fell only about two per cent nationally and bounced back quite quickly.”

John Fitzgerald, the chief executive of Custodian, said many people had over-estimated how significantly COVID was going to impact the economy. 
“If the COVID pandemic has shown us anything it is that property can be a safe investment, but you need to be careful about what type of property you invest in,” Mr Fitzgerald said. 
“We recommend investment in land because it appreciates in value. Of course, many investors need to build something on that land to help them pay down their loan, that’s why we recommend building a new house in areas of high population growth and with significant amenity and jobs nodes nearby.” 
Investor numbers were at record lows with only about 24 per cent of mortgage demand coming from investors when normally it would account for a third of loans. 
Mr Lawless said investors were motivated by positive cash flow and growing capital gains and that was why smaller cities such as Adelaide and Brisbane would be the focus of demand this year. 
They were more affordable than Sydney and Melbourne and had not experienced the downwards pressure from weakening rental markets that Melbourne and Sydney had. 
“We will see buyer numbers remaining very high because of low interest rates and confidence, providing we continue to keep COVID under control. What we don’t know is how much stock will be added to market. My guess is it will be not much different from second half of 2020,” Mr Lawless said.
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CoreLogic research director Tim Lawless predicts property price increases of between 7 per cent and 10 per cent in 2021

Return of investors and lack of listings tipped to drive property prices in 2021

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In my previous article <a href="/expert-insights/42148-the-higher-you-build-the-greater-the-fall-edwin-almeida" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">"Reaching For The Skies"</a> I eluded to the reasons why some of the towers being built in Sydney will fall. Not in a literal sense but more so from an economic point of view.
What will ignite the primer to set off the economic property meltdown?
I believe the major part of the answer can be found amongst all the lies international investors are being told. The lies that have attracted foreign investors to the glittery shores of Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne. Like lambs to the developers feasting tables.
Under-supply, huge demand for rental accommodation and the fattest lie could well be that we still hold global recognition on the best standards for building and construction.Yeah right!! and pigs fly.
Return On Investment
The first lie being told and promoted to predominantly Chinese investors is; whatever we build, they will be occupied at a high yielding return. Simply, there will be a high rental return on the amount of money invested. An argument highly supported by the promoters of tales that persuaded many to believe stories of, under-supply due to substantial population growth. We build it, you buy it and we will fill them.
Nonetheless, investors bought and continue to buy. To sweeten the deal, rental guarantees were introduced. The 12 month rental guarantees given to investors in the past, are no longer sustainable due to increased property prices.
To accommodate for the now non attractive 12 month guarantees, we have seen a shift from the 12 month guarantees, to offerings of up to 3 years by some property marketing companies. An increase of time to the guarantee, to account for the rising cost of the property in order to keep feeding the investor’s greed and maintain the illusion of high performing returns.
The first proposition, may have been true in part and in the past. However, the tide has now turned due to the word being spread about high yielding returns, therefore, fueling a greater frenzy of speculative buyers.
An increase of buyers has led to greater demands to build more apartments, and now we have gone past saturation point. It’s certainly being felt in Brisbane, with more than 30,000 apartments about to be completed in the next 12 months.
Sydney, although a little slower, is by all means not too far behind. The only difference is the QLD market is mainly fueled by local investors: SMSF’s, first time mum-dad investors that attended wealth seminars and by Sydneysiders that have made small fortunes with new realized equity in their homes. Yes, not to mention the foreign investor.
Two outcomes have emerged; the first, over supply of property which is now starting to create concerns among property management teams as rental yields fall. The second, evidenced by our own property management teams and other office’s is the increase in percentage vacancy rates.
Get Rich Quick Schemes
The get rich quick schemes seemed to run at all levels. From the Marketing Agents to the developers to even the investors themselves.
The Marketing Agents, and I purposely avoid in calling these companies Real Estate Agencies, are receiving up to 10% or close to $50,000-$60,000 commissions on sales of $700,000 properties. These exuberant commissions encourages these agencies to exploit the international investor. Their own mates, family and friends.
The Investors on the other hand, have made some serious money. The ones that got in early that is. The ones that bought in markets where the values only reached $600,000 at the time and they were receiving $550/week rentals.
The newbies however, are now coming in to the same markets and with price tags of $850,000 – Hey stupid! The rents are still $550/week.
The developers, for the purpose of this article I will only concentrate on the NEW BREED (NB) of developers. The NB are also international investors that have no history in construction but have found a way to milk the system at a higher level. They have bought with them so much uncertainty and low level workmanship, it is staggering how some of their buildings pass certification requirements.
Unfortunately some of our local developers have been fanning the flames of this hot property market. Can you blame them? After all, they are running a business. Part of me does and another part of me doesn’t blame them. The part that does, is the side that questions the ethics around "marketing fees" to entice the International Investor by the Property Marketing Companies. Along with this, is the commissions paid to financial planners and the finance industry to also market some projects.
What will level this market will be no different to what we saw 10 years ago: oversupply, vacancy rates on high projections and the ongoing costs to investors to repair bad workmanship. Again I say, the only difference is; the towers are higher, deeper and bulkier. The higher they build, the greater the fall.
EDWIN ALMEIDA is licensee in charge of <a href="https://www.just-thin.com.au/" target="_blank">Just Think Real Estate</a>.<a href="https://www.just-thin.com.au/"> </a>
He is also the creator of <a href="https://www.youtube.com/user/JustThinkProperty" target="_blank">Oz Real Estate.TV</a> and a presenter for <a href="https://propertyinvestingvault.com/" target="_blank">propertyinvestingvault.com</a>.
 
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ealmedia-arK4DBYLjS

The higher the building the greater the fall: Edwin Almeida

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There are the Boxing Day sales, and there was this week’s rush of extremely cashed-up investors desperate to get a slice of this week’s rare 31-year government bond auction.
What’s a bond? What’s a bond auction? We’ll get to those shortly.
First, just know that the government received <a href="https://www.aofm.gov.au/program/forthcoming-transactions/pricing-new-june-2051-treasury-bond" target="_blank">A$36.8 billion</a> of bids, <a href="https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/new-30-yr-government-bond-attracts-over-20b-of-bids-20200727-p55frl" target="_blank">$20 billion</a> of them within hours of opening the two-day auction on Monday.
It had been wanting to move <a href="https://www.aofm.gov.au/program/forthcoming-transactions/pricing-new-june-2051-treasury-b" target="_blank">$15 billion</a>, and could have moved that much again.
$15 billion makes it the third biggest bond sale in Australian history. The two bigger were recent – a $19 billion ten-year bond sale in May and a $17 billion five-year bond sale in July.
Each sale nets the government money it won’t have to pay back for five, ten or 31 years at rates of interest that until recently would have been unthinkably low. 
The 31-year bond went for 1.94%. That means the foreign and Australian investors who bought them (including Australian super funds) were prepared to accept less than the usual rate of inflation right through until 2051 in return for regular government-guaranteed interest cheques.
Investors who bought ten year bonds were prepared to accept only 0.92% per year, investors who bought five year bonds, only 0.40%.
<h2>What’s a bond?</h2>
Even bond traders find it hard to get a handle on what bonds are. In his novel <a href="https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/306424.Bombardiers" target="_blank">Bombardiers</a>, author Po Bronson writes a scene where a bond trader refuses to work any more and demands to see an actual bond, “any kind of bond”.
He tells his boss he can’t sell bonds “if he’s never seen one”.
Like many things that used to exist physically, they’re now mainly numbers on screens, but it helps to get a picture.
This one is a US 27-year bond from 1945.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/350098/original/file-20200729-33-u4eet9.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/350098/original/file-20200729-33-u4eet9.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a> <a class="source" href="https://www.theherbstmancollection.com/dedication" target="_blank">The Joe I. Herbstman Memorial Collection</a>
The biggest part of the paper is a promise to repay the US$1000 it cost, in 27 years time.
The smaller rectangles are called coupons, and each year the owner can tear one off and take it in to get 2.5%.
If the owner wants to sell the bond to someone else (and bonds are traded all the time) it’ll be sold with one coupon missing after one year, two coupons missing after two years, and so on.
<h2>When rates fall, prices rise</h2>
The price of a bond will vary with what’s happening to interest rates. If they are falling, an existing bond, offering returns at old rates, will become more expensive and can be sold at a profit. If they go up, an existing bond will become worth less and have to be sold at a loss.
It leads to confusion. When bond rates fall, bond prices rise, and visa versa.
For half a decade now bond rates have been falling. They’ve fallen further during the COVID crisis, making bonds a doubly good investment. They offer superannuation funds and others certainty at a time when everything seems uncertain, and if rates continue to fall they increase in value.
It is an indictment of our times that so many investors want them. The government’s <a href="https://www.aofm.gov.au/" target="_blank">office of financial management</a> is going to need to sell an extra $167 billion over the coming year. The rush to buy suggests it could sell more.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/143598/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/peter-martin-682709" target="_blank">Peter Martin</a>, Visiting Fellow, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/crawford-school-of-public-policy-australian-national-university-3292" target="_blank">Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University</a>
This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/the-government-has-just-sold-15-billion-of-31-year-bonds-but-what-actually-is-a-bond-143598" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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