Home Loans

Australia&rsquo;s biggest bank, CBA, has increased its 2- and 4- year fixed home loan rates by 0.05 per cent for owner-occupiers paying principal and interest. 
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It is the third time CBA has hiked its 4-year fixed rate this year, but the first time the bank has hiked its 2-year rate for owner-occupiers.

&ldquo;CBA is factoring in a rise in the cost of funding over the next couple of years, particularly now the RBA&rsquo;s term funding facility has closed.&rdquo; 
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A recent economic insights report from CBA shows around half of its new owner-occupier loans settled in June were fixed, with the two-year rate the most popular. 
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&ldquo;Despite today&rsquo;s hikes, CBA still has one rate under 2 per cent &ndash; the bank is not going to let go of that easily,&rdquo; said RateCity.com.au research director, Sally Tindall. 
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&ldquo;CBA&rsquo;s two-year rate was extremely competitive and attracting significant interest. By keeping it just under 2 per cent, the bank is trying to keep momentum going at a more sustainable price,&quot; she said. 
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Analysis of the RateCity.com.au database shows over the last two months, there have been more hikes than cuts in every fixed rate category with the exception of 1-year rates. 
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But ME Bank has cut rates across a few home loans from early August, while boosting its refinance cashback offer to $3,000.

The cuts were across its two-year fixed and variable home loan range.

The two-year fixed rate Member Package home loan was cut by 20 basis points to 1.89% p.a. (3.17% p.a. comparison rate*) - a &quot;record low&quot; for the lender.

This particular comparison rate applies to owner occupier borrowers with 80% LVR i.e. a 20% deposit, paying principal &amp; interest.&nbsp;

The same advertised rate applies to other LVRs in the product line, but different comparison rates apply.

A number of other home loans - both fixed and variable - with different LVRs were also cut by between 5 and 31 basis points.

While the majority of changes to fixed rates in the last two months have been hikes, RateCity advise the opposite is happening in the variable rate market.&nbsp; 
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RateCity.com.au home loan database analysis shows 49 lenders have cut at least one variable rate in the past two months while 10 lenders have hiked variable rates in that time.

The vast majority of variable rate cuts are reserved for new customers, not existing ones, RateCity research director, Sally Tindall, said.

&ldquo;Variable rates are at record lows, however, most of these deals are reserved for new customers, not existing ones, unless you specifically ask,&rdquo; she said. 
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&ldquo;Before you call, check what rate your bank is giving new customers for the same home loan, but also find out what other lenders have on offer.

&ldquo;If you are paying significantly more than a new customer, pick up the phone and ask your bank &lsquo;why?&rsquo;.

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&ldquo;If you have a good track record of paying down your debt, and the bank thinks you might switch to a more competitive lender, they&rsquo;re likely to play ball. 
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&ldquo;A lot of people think a handful of basis points won&rsquo;t make much of a difference, but if the discount is permanent, then the savings can potentially run into the thousands in just a few years,&rdquo; she said.

ME has also increased its cashback offer to $3,000 for externally-refinanced home loans.

The new lending amount must be minimum of $250,000.

Eligible refinancers must apply by Friday 27 August inclusive, and settle by Friday 29 October.

ME Bank CEO Adam Crane said the cuts would assist borrowers &quot;looking to maximise their borrowing in a challenging property market.&quot;

In February, ME Bank merged with Bank of Queensland with the deal expected to be finalised this month.

But ME Bank cut rates across a few home loans, while boosting its refinance cashback offer to $3,000

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Home loan mortgage rate rises continue

While the value of new loans dipped this month, refinancing has skyrocketed to an all-time high in June.

Latest figures from the ABS show the total value of refinanced loans hit $16.24 billion in June, up $1.37 billion in just one month, in seasonally adjusted terms.

That $16.24 billion figure is made up of a record&nbsp;$10.84 billion&nbsp;from owner occupier&#39;s refinancing, up 112% on a year ago, and&nbsp;$5.41 billion from investors, up 67% year on year.

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Refinancing has risen sharply in recent months, fuelled by record low rates. COVID has also prompted many families overhaul their finances.

In the past 12 months, $151.12 billion worth of mortgages have been refinanced, in seasonally adjusted terms.

RateCity.com.au research director, Sally Tindall, said the record high in refinancing in June suggested mortgage holders were racing to lock in low rates in case they rise.

&ldquo;At the start of COVID, we saw a spike in refinancing as people rushed to lock in a competitive rate. COVID was a wake-up call for people to get their finances in order, and banks were at the ready, handing out some of the lowest rates in history,&rdquo; she said.

&ldquo;Over a year later and we&rsquo;ve now hit a new record high, although this time, the surge is more likely to be fuelled by a fear of missing out.&quot;

&ldquo;In the last five months, dozens of lenders, including the big four banks, have hiked many of their longer-term fixed rates. Taking these record-low fixed rates off the table has been the push some people needed to refinance,&quot; she added.

The latest figures from the ABS show the total value of refinanced loans hit $16.24 billion in June, a new record high

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Mortgage refinancing is hitting record highs: RateCity

Home loan credit issues were the second most complained about matter in complaints lodged with the Australian Financial Complaints Authority (AFCA) in the past 12 months.&nbsp;

AFCA receives 70,000 financial complaints in 2020-21 with 9 percent (6300) on home loan credit matters.

Home loan issues stood at 13 percent of complaints in the prior financial year.

Overall complaints were down 12 per cent on 2019-20.

The most complained about money product was credit cards.

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AFCA reviews consumer disputes with banks, insurers, super funds, investment firms and financial advisers.&nbsp;

It secured more than $240 million in compensation and refunds after consumers sought AFCA&rsquo;s help, as well as outcomes such as fee waivers, debt forgiveness and apologies.&nbsp;

AFCA has now helped to secure more than $610 million in compensation and refunds, and over $220 million in remediation payments, since starting operation on 1 November 2018.&nbsp;

Individual consumers and small businesses can also access the free ombudsman service.&nbsp;

A preliminary data snapshot as of June 30 also shows that nearly 70 per cent of the 70,000 cases were resolved by agreement after AFCA brought the parties together, and that nearly 60 per cent of cases were resolved within 60 days.&nbsp;

The most complained about product in 2020-21 was credit cards, accounting for 14 per cent of all complaints, followed by home loans (9 per cent) and personal transaction accounts (8 per cent).&nbsp;

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Home building insurance complaints rank among the top concerns.&nbsp;

With credit cards, the most common issues were default listings and unauthorised transactions &ndash; the latter accounting for 11 per cent of card complaints.&nbsp;

Government support, business relief measures and a steadying economy had a positive effect on complaint levels in 2020-21, including complaints involving financial difficulty, AFCA&rsquo;s Chief Ombudsman, David Locke said.&nbsp;

&ldquo;Significantly, complaints involving financial difficulty were down nearly 40 per cent from the numbers we saw the previous year,&rdquo; Mr Locke said. &ldquo;That&rsquo;s a great outcome and reflects the positive response from government and industry to the impact of COVID.&nbsp;

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&ldquo;However, it&rsquo;s too early to say we&rsquo;re out of the woods yet. It may be some months before we know the full impact of the end of government emergency support and assistance from financial firms such as deferred loan repayments.&quot;

Overall, complaints were down 12 per cent on 2019-20.

The Australian Financial Complaints Authority (AFCA) is a non-government ombudsman service providing free, fair and independent help with financial disputes. 
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The Australian Financial Complaints Authority (AFCA) is a non-government ombudsman service providing free, fair and independent help with financial disputes.

Home loan complaints made to AFCA dip

First home lending by the National Australia Bank has hit a record high.

&quot;Low interest rates, government incentives and greater working flexibility continue to allow first home buyers to get into their first place with April the strongest month in a generation,&quot; NAB executive for home ownership Andy Kerr said.

Its first four months 2021 saw its lending to first timers surge 67 per cent on 2020.

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Its lending was up 9 per cent on the final four months of 2020, with activity is returning to inner city apartments.

Outer metropolitan buying remained strong.

Kerr said buyers are back in Victoria

&quot;It&#39;s a bounce-back story for Victoria in 2021,&quot; Kerr told Nine News.

Mount Waverley saw the biggest jump in demand from first home buyers, up 180 per cent, compared with the same period last year.

Richmond, Croydon and Berwick all rose more than 140 per cent.

Buying at Wollert, Glen Waverley, St Albans and Glenroy rose by between 45 percent and 59 percent.

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Kerr said the level of first-home buyer activity was unusually high.

&ldquo;The level of first-home buyer activity has been like nothing we&rsquo;ve seen in a generation,&rdquo; he said.

&ldquo;Record low interest rates and government incentives continue to support demand and it&rsquo;s been great to hear stories of some customers purchasing their first home earlier than expected.&rdquo;

He advised buyer enthusiasm for regional properties has slowed since last year as lending for regional properties eased off by about 4 per cent.

The NAB executive for home ownership Andy Kerr said the level of first-home buyer activity was unusually high

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NAB first home lending hits record high as inner city apartment buying picks up

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Philip Lowe, the RBA Governor, has indicated the central bank's primary concern is employment, and those who don’t have a job and whose wages aren’t growing at sufficiently high rates. 

"So to the extent that anything keeps me awake at night, that’s what worries me is the social and economic cost from a protracted period of unemployment. 

"We know that low interest rates do push up asset prices, that’s part of the transmission mechanism. 

"What would concern me, if we saw on the back of these rising asset prices, lending standards deteriorate and people go into the bank and borrowing ridiculous amounts of money in a speculative boom. 

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"So this is why our focus is very much on making sure these lending standards remain sound because that would be a big problem if we saw a debt financed speculative boom in asset prices. 

"We are not seeing that at the moment. 

"The equity market is below its previous peaks, housing prices in Sydney and Melbourne, while they’re rising, they’re not really higher than they got to a little while back in some of the smaller capital cities. 

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"In regional Australia housing prices are rising quickly, but there are fundamental factors at work here. 

"So the issue is if prices are rising, are people borrowing responsibly and carefully? 

"And to date they are," Philip Lowe concluded.

Lowe also warned that looser lending standards would increase the upward pressure on house prices and create financial risks.

“We are not at this point, but we are watching carefully,” he said.
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The RBA Governor Philip Lowe has said he would be worried if Australians started “borrowing ridiculous amounts of money” in a speculative way.



Don't borrow ridiculous amounts of money: RBA Governor's warning to home buyers

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EXPERT INSIGHT

Australian capital city average dwelling prices rose 2% in February according to CoreLogic and are up 2.6% on a year ago. This is their fastest monthly gain since 2003 and they have now surpassed their September 2017 record high by 0.7%.

Sydney dwelling prices rose a very strong 2.5%, resulting in five months of gains, and are up 2.8% on a year ago. Melbourne prices also rose 2.1%, resulting in four months of gains, but are down -1.3% on a year ago reflecting a -5.6% fall around mid-2020 through the various lockdowns.

Prices in other cities were all up strongly led by Hobart with prices up 2.5% in February and 8.7% through the year, followed by Canberra up 1.9%, Brisbane and Perth both up 1.5%, Adelaide up 0.8% and Darwin up 0.7%. Prices in Hobart, Canberra, Brisbane and Adelaide are all at record highs.

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Regional dwelling prices rose 2.1% in February and 9.4% on a year ago with their relative strength reflecting lower levels of indebtedness and hence less vulnerability to the financial stresses caused by the pandemic driven economic downturn, less exposure to the slump in immigration and increased buyer interest as people seek to relocate from cities as part of a secular trend towards working from home and a greater focus on lifestyle.

Capital city house prices rose 2.3% in February and 3.6% over the last 12 months whereas unit prices lagged with a 1.1% gain in the month and a -0.1% fall on a year ago, with the relative underperformance likely reflecting an ongoing shift in lifestyle preferences towards houses as a result of more working from home and a lifestyle choice and as weak rental conditions made worse by the slump in immigration constrain the inner city unit markets in Sydney and Melbourne. Over the last 12 months unit rents fell -8.0% in Melbourne and -5.3% in Sydney, although there were further signs of stabilisation in February.

The strength in home prices is consistent with the surge in new housing finance commitments over recent months. This rose another 10.5% in January and is now up 44.3% from a year ago. First home buyer finance surged 10.1%mom - and is up a whopping 73% on a year ago - to a new record high although with owner occupier ex first home buyer finance up an even stronger 11.3%, the first home buyer share of new loans slipped from a record 25% to 24.9%. Investor finance is now also surging and rose 9.4%. The ongoing strength in finance commitments points to more solid house price gains in the months ahead although January’s 2% capital city rise may be hard to beat.

Auction clearances are now very strong and sales are running around pre coronavirus levels, although listings are still relatively low. Clearance rates are at levels consistent with 15% or so annual price gains!

What’s driving the surge in home prices?

The combination of reopening unleashing pent up demand, government incentives, the removal of responsible lending obligations, record low mortgage rates, the desire to "escape from the city" and relatively low property listings are all helping to push prices higher with an element of FOMO (or the “fear of missing out” creeping in too. This is after bank payment holidays and Government income support measures averted a sharp fall in prices that would otherwise have followed from the pandemic recession. The combination has more than offset the impact of weak inner city rental markets and the hit to immigration and has brought forward demand from first home buyers and owner occupiers, with investors now starting to jump in too.

Average capital city dwelling prices have now surpassed their September 2017 high, although this masks a wide divergence with: clear record highs in Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra and in average regional home prices; Sydney and Melbourne still down just over 1% from their 2017 highs; and Perth and Darwin remaining well down on their 2014 highs.  

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Outlook

Australian home prices are likely to rise another 5% to 10% this year and next being boosted by record low mortgage rates, government home buyer incentives and the recovery in the jobs market but the stop to immigration and weak rental markets will likely constrain price gains in inner city areas and units in Melbourne and Sydney. Outer suburbs, houses, smaller cities and regional areas will see relatively stronger gains in 2021.

The phasing down of government incentives and exhaustion of first home buyers will likely see first home buyer demand as a share of housing finance and overall demand peak in the months ahead but they will likely be replaced by rebounding investor demand. Possible increases in 4 year plus fixed rate mortgage rates flowing from the recent surge in bond yields will act as a bit of a dampener but likely only enough to see price growth settle around a 5-10% annual pace.

Shane Oliver is the Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Capital 
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The strength in home prices is consistent with the surge in new housing finance commitments over recent months

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Housing finance commitments surged another 10.5% to start 2021: Shane Oliver

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Heritage Bank will offer variable rate home loan rates from as low as 2.54% after announcing cuts to its rates last week.

Heritage has reduced selected rates for new loans across its owner occupier and investment range from making it more attractive for prospective borrowers to take out a loan with Australia’s largest customer-owned bank.

Heritage has dropped its Discount Variable home loan interest rate to 2.54%, for eligible borrowers taking out a new owner occupier loan of $150,000 - $699,999 with a loan to value ratio equal to or less than 70%. 
  
Other rate reductions for new owner occupier loans include:

<ul>
<li>Selected Discount Variable loans reduced by 0.09%</li>
	<li>Selected Home Advantage Variable loans decreased by up to 0.19%</li>
</ul>
There is also news for investors with further rate cuts for new loans as follows:

<ul>
<li> Investor Discount Variable loan rates reduced by up to 0.14%</li>
	<li> Investor Home Advantage Variable loan rates cut by 0.14% - 0.24%</li>
</ul>
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Heritage has dropped its discount variable home loan interest rate to 2.54%

Heritage Bank cuts variable home loan interest rates

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GUEST OBSERVER
Total new loans (personal, business, housing &amp; lease) rose by 3.5 percent in February after a 3 percent fall in January. Lending was just 5.5 percent shy of the 7ó-year high recorded in September.
Total lending is down 0.7 percent on a year ago.
Consumer sentiment: The Westpac/Melbourne Institute index of consumer confidence fell by 4 percent in April to 95.1 – a 7-month low. A reading of 100 is the dividing line separating optimism from pessimism.
Dwelling starts: Starts fell by 5.1 percent in the December quarter after lifting by a revised 2.3 percent in the September quarter. Work started on a record 220,845 new dwellings over the year to December, well above the decade average of 164,317 dwellings.
China trade data: The trade surplus narrowed from US$32.59 billion to US$29.86 billion in March. Exports were up 11.5 percent over the year (forecast: +2.5 percent) while imports were down by -7.6 percent (forecast: -10.1 percent).
The lending figures have implications for finance providers, retailers, and companies dependent on consumer and business spending. The consumer confidence data is important for retailers and consumer-facing businesses. Building &amp; building material companies are affected by dwelling starts including Boral, James Hardie, Adelaide Brighton, Brickworks, AV Jennings Limited, Devine Limited and Beacon Lighting.
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What does it all mean?
A mixed bag in terms of the data flow. Aussie consumers have certainly become more cautious, with confidence levels sliding to 7-month lows. The result mirrors the four-week slide in the weekly consumer sentiment survey.
Unfortunately elections cause consumers and businesses to hold back on spending, employment and investment plans, and that is the risk to the positive momentum that has built up in recent months. Interestingly not even a stronger Australian dollar has been able to prop up consumer confidence. No doubt policymakers would be hoping that the slide in confidence is a temporary situation.
Encouragingly the lending data was more upbeat alongside better exports figures out of China. The last couple of months of Chinese data need to be studied with caution given the timing of Chinese New Year.
However the latest data certainly suggests that activity levels are lifting and no doubt will give investors a degree of optimism, particularly in light of the recent surge in commodity prices.
The lift in borrowing across the economy in February essentially negates the prior month’s weakness. Overall, lending is healthy - no doubt driven by housing but leasing has also been strong. The hope would be that business borrowings continue to lift - driving investment and supporting medium term growth.
The generational low interest rates will be supportive of further borrowing – but there is no guarantee. The interesting point for the Reserve Bank though is whether another cut in the cash rate would serve any purpose.
Borrowers are cautious about taking on more debt. And lower interest rates compress bank margins, affecting profits and potentially investment, employment and shareholder returns.
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What do the figures show?
Lending Finance
Total new loans  (personal, business, housing &amp; lease) rose by 3.5 percent in February after a 3 percent fall in January. Lending was just 5.5 percent shy of the 7ó-year high recorded in September. Total lending is down 0.7 percent on a year ago.
Housing finance:  The seasonally adjusted measure of construction and new purchases rose by 1.7 percent in February while alterations &amp; additions rose by 2.7 percent. Home loans are up 15.6 percent on a year.
Commercial finance : The seasonally adjusted series for the value of total commercial finance commitments rose by 5.6 percent in February after falling by 2.6 percent in January. Revolving credit commitments rose by 10.6 per cent. Fixed lending commitments rose by 4 percent. Business loans are down 5.6 percent over the year.
Personal finance : The seasonally adjusted series for the value of total personal finance commitments fell by 3.1 percent in February after falling by 1.3 percent in January. Revolving credit commitments fell by 9.8 percent and fixed lending commitments rose by 1.3 percent. Personal loans are down 11.9 percent over the year.
Within personal fixed finance commitments,  loans for new cars were up by 17.2 percent on a year earlier while loans for used cars were up 4.3 percent. Loans for residential blocks of land were up by 10.8 percent on a year ago.
Lease finance : Lending fell by 3.3 percent in February and was up 9.2 percent over the year.
Consumer sentiment:
The Westpac/Melbourne Institute index of consumer confidence fell by 4 percent in April to 95.1 after sliding by 2 percent in March. The confidence index is down 1.1 percent on a year ago.
The current conditions index fell by 1.1 percent while the expectations index fell by 6 percent.
Four of the five components of the index fell in April:
The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was down  by 3.9 percent;
The estimate of family finances over the next year was down  by 6.6 percent;
Economic conditions over the next 12 months was down  by 5.5 percent;
Economic conditions over the next 5 years was down  by 6 percent;
The measure on whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was up  by 1.1 percent.
Gender &amp; demographics: Men (index reading of 99.2, down 5.1 percent) were more optimistic than Women (91.2, down 3.3 percent). The sentiment index for young people rose by 10.7 percent to 109.6 in April. Across the other demographics: 25-44 years (index 99.4, down by 3.6 percent); 45 years plus (index 88.7, down 7.8 percent).
Housing outlook: A good time to buy a dwelling? – Index down 9.2 percent in the month and down 12.3 percent on the year.
State sentiment levels: NSW (down 10.3 percent), Victoria (up 0.7 percent), Queensland (up 7.4 percent), Western Australia (down 12.2 percent) and South Australia (down 5.9 percent).
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Dwelling starts
Dwelling starts (commencements) fell by 5.1 percent in the December quarter after lifting by a revised 2.3 per cent in the September quarter. House approvals fell by 5.4 percent and apartments fell by 3.8 percent. Work started on a record 220,845 new dwellings over the year to December, well above the decade average of 164,317 dwellings.
Across Australia, starts in the December quarter rose in five states: NSW (up 1.6 percent); Victoria (up 4.7 percent); Queensland (up 4.9 percent); South Australia (down 4.8 percent); Western Australia (down 5.7 percent); Tasmania (down 2.8 percent); Northern Territory (up 2.1 percent); and the ACT (up 2.9 percent)
In the year to December, dwelling starts were higher than the decade average in all the states &amp; territories except for Western Australia (down 12 percent) and South Australia (down 9.5 percent). Starts were at record highs in Victoria (68,943), and NSW (59,016).
Dwelling starts in NSW in the December quarter were 62.9 percent above the decade average.
Chinese trade data
The trade surplus  narrowed from US$32.59 billion to US$29.86 billion in March. Exports were up 11.5 percent over the year (forecast: +2.5 percent) while imports were down by -7.6 percent (forecast: -10.1 percent).
What is the importance of the economic data?
Lending Finance is released monthly by the Bureau of Statistics and contains figures on new housing, personal, commercial and lease finance commitments. The importance of the data lies in what it reveals about the appropriateness of interest rate settings, confidence and spending levels in the economy.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
The Reserve Bank will maintain its ‘easing bias’ as it attempts to gauge how the economy is tracking. No doubt the lift in the Australian dollar to above US77c following the release of the China trade figures would cause policymakers some angst if it was maintained. Tomorrow’s labour market figures and inflation (April 27) will be the key data points ahead of the May Reserve Bank Board meeting.
It’s important not to ‘over-think’ consumer confidence. For most punters, the Aussie dollar, interest rates, petrol prices, home prices and the job market are the key factors determining whether someone is positive or negative on supposedly ‘economic’ issues.
Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a>
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Lending lifts, confidence at 7-month lows: CommSec's Savanth Sebastian

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GUEST OBSERVER
Housing finance
Home loans: The number of loans (commitments) for budding home owners (owner-occupiers) rose by 0.5 percent in January, the third consecutive rise. But the increase was wholly due to a 5.0 percent lift in refinancing.
The value of loans (owner occupier and investment) rose by 1.5 percent in January. Owner-occupier loans fell by 0.2 percent but investment loans rose by 4.2 percent. Non-bank lending up: The number of loans by non-bank lenders rose by 4.7 percent in January after a 6.2 percent lift in December – the strongest back-to-back gain in 32 months.
What does it all mean?
There is a lot of information contained in the Housing Finance publication. Actually so much information that it can prove confusing. In the latest month, budding home owners (owner-occupiers) took out fewer loans to build homes or buy new or existing homes. There were more loan commitments in the month, but only because more people chose to refinance existing loans.
Refinancing had fallen for three straight months, so the lift in loans was from 16-month lows. The lift in refinancing may serve to boost the purchasing power of consumers, and thus support growth of the broader economy.
There were actually fewer loans taken out by those looking to build their dream homes. Loans to budding home builders have fallen for four of the last five months. But once investors are added in, construction loans are still healthy, up almost 10 percent on a year ago. If these commitments are actually drawn down, then more new dwelling projects will be started in coming months.
Home building does appear to have peaked but the lift in construction loans suggests a soft landing lies ahead.
Investors remain active in the housing market with the value of loans at 20-month highs. Investor loans are actually up 27.5 percent on a year ago, the fastest growth in 29 months.
The risk is that regulators may seek to apply further measures to slow down the pace of investor home loans.
Borrowers in many states are taking out smaller home loans than a year ago. That is despite home prices still generally rising and despite interest rates being lower than a year ago. The more conservative lending posture will encourage the Reserve Bank.
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What do the figures show?
Housing finance - number
The number of loans (commitments) for budding home owners (owner-occupiers) rose by 0.5 percent in January after rising 0.2 percent in December and rising by 1.4 per cent in November. Excluding the refinancing of dwellings, the number of loans was down by 1.7 percent.
 The number of new home loans was up by 1.9 percent on a year ago (excluding refinancing, up 4.6 percent).
Loans by owner-occupiers for the construction of homes fell by 1.4 percent in January. Loans to buy newly-erected dwellings fell by 2.3 percent.
Loans for the purchase of established dwellings (excluding refinancing) fell by 1.9 percent.
The number of refinancing transactions rose by 5.0 percent.
Lending across states/territories: NSW (+1.3 percent); Victoria (+1.6 percent); Queensland (+1.6 percent); South Australia (+4.4 percent), Western Australia (+0.3 percent); Tasmania (-2.5 percent); Northern Territory (-5.3 percent); ACT (+1.9 percent).
HOUSING FINANCE - VALUE
The value of new housing commitments (owner occupier and investment) rose by 1.5 percent in January – the fifth straight gain. Owner-occupier loans fell by 0.2 percent but investment loans rose by 4.2 percent.
The value of loans by owner-occupiers and investors to build new homes rose by 9.7 percent in January after falling by 10.2 percent in December and rising 15.4 percent in October. The value of loans stood at $3.04 billion, down from the record high of $3.32 billion in the year to March. 
HOUSING FINANCE – OTHER STATISTICS
The proportion of first-time buyers in the home loan market eased from 13.8 percent to 13.4 percent in January (long-term average 19.4 percent).
The proportion of fixed rate loans rose from 14.6 percent to a 9-month high of 15.2 percent in January. And the average home loan across Australia stood at $363,600 in January, down 3.2 percent in the month and down 0.4 percent on a year ago.
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WHAT IS THE IMPORTANCE OF THE ECONOMIC DATA?
Housing Finance data is produced monthly by the Bureau of Statistics and shows commitments by lenders, such as banks, to provide finance for housing purposes. The lending figures relate to those looking to buy or build homes to live in as well as those seeking to buy or build homes for investment purposes. Generally people get their finance organised first, so the figures are regarded as a leading indicator on the housing market.
WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR INTEREST RATES AND INVESTORS?
Regulators will keep a close eye on home loan trends. The revival of investor lending could lead to fresh controls over new lending. But it is also worth pointing out that non-bank lenders seem to have been more active in the past two months which may provide complications in containing investor exuberance.
While investors are more active in the housing market, budding home owners are more circumspect with the value of owner-occupier lending just 1.9 percent higher than a year ago.
The lift in home loan refinancing is positive for consumer-focussed companies.
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Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.
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More home loan refinancing, investors still active: Craig James

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With one of the country’s biggest lenders announcing lending restrictions to certain suburbs, could this signal changes which could have a much broader impact to the property market? 
Tiered pricing 
It’s not unrealistic for banks to change pricing structures and cap LVR’s based on suburbs. This could take the form of higher rates and/or low LVR caps for certain ‘high risk’ suburbs and lower rates and higher LVRs for what lenders consider a ‘safer’ suburb. A recent example was ING DIRECT’s decision in June to restrict investment lending in NSW to a maximum LVR of 80% (usually 90%), but this has since been restricted to 80% in all other states as well. If this becomes a market-wide issue, this could impact existing owners if they decided to refinance under new rules by making such a move to the goalposts.
Specific apartment developments under the spotlight 
If lenders start to put a red flag on suburbs, specific apartment developments which are deemed high risk or where there’s a glut of development, might be next. This could squeeze a huge percentage of investors out of the market,  reducing the affordability and ‘entry point’ for many first time buyers and see them locked out of certain developments but leave the gate open for overseas investors. 
These two changes could see a big shift in the way people buy property altogether by changing buying habits, upping rates and lowering accessibility for new buyers. 
Change buying habits
If either of these changes occur, we’ll see a shift in the market. Investors will flood certain suburbs because it’s the only places they can buy and owner occupiers will be locked out of certain suburbs due to LVR restrictions. This could have a big impact on property prices - and that of surrounding suburbs - and at a higher level, the demographic make-up of a city. 
Increase in number of declined loans 
Being knocked back for finance based on a building type or suburb could have a residual impact on a borrower’s ability to apply for loans. This could also impact a borrowers credit score more broadly. 
Higher rates across the board 
If tiering and capping presents too much of a logistical challenge for lenders combined with a backlash from borrowers, lenders may choose to cover their credit risk by simply increasing interest rates across the board. 
Lenders withdrawing from some areas altogether 
Mining towns have already been mentioned as high risk areas and if we see large lenders withdraw form these areas, smaller lenders will likely follow suit. This trend tends to apply for most high level changes like pricing or lending criteria – when the big guys move, the smaller lenders follow.
STEVE JOVCEVSKI is property expert at Mozo.com.au.
FOR MORE INSIDER INFORMATION ON PROPERTY LOANS, RATES AND MORE: DOWNLOAD THE<a href="http://propertyobserver.com.au/forward-planning/tools/ebooks-and-webinars/42368-get-loan-savvy-expert-tips-for-a-first-time-investment-or-refinancing-loan-in-a-free-ebook" target="_blank"> FREE MOZO EBOOK</a>.
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