Regional Victoria prices play catchup, but the city remains the powerhouse since 2006

The REIV has recently released the median prices for 2011. This data set differs from the quarterly data in that it compares all of the residential property sales in 2011 with those in 2010 and 2006 rather than just three months’ worth of sales.

This has the effect of smoothing out some of the peaks and troughs evident on a quarterly basis, thereby providing a clearer medium-term picture of the market.

The data showed that the median house price in Melbourne dropped by 1.8% from $550,000 in 2010 to $540,383. It’s important to understand this result in the context of what happened in 2010, when the median price of a house increased by 18% from $465,000 in 2009. Ongoing increases of that order would not be sustainable and it would appear that prices did drop from the peak in December 2010, partly due to concerns about affordability and a lack of confidence in the economy.

Over the same time, the median price of a unit dropped by 1.3% to $456,000 from $462,000 in 2010. This shows that the performance of the unit and apartment market mirrored that for houses.

This contrasted, however, with the outcome in regional Victoria, where the median price of a house increased by 3.6% from $304,000 to $315,000. While regional Victorian house prices do not exhibit the same variability of those in Melbourne, they also do not match the long-term growth, with a 27% increase since 2006 compared with the 46% increase recorded in Melbourne.

Enzo Raimondo is CEO of the Real Estate Institute of Victoria.