Reduced migration to make apartments cheaper: BIS Oxford Economics

“In terms of long-term sustainability, there’s still demand shock around [reduced] migration, which will likely make apartments cheaper."

Reduced migration to make apartments cheaper: BIS Oxford Economics

Reduced migration will likely make apartments cheaper, according to BIS Oxford Economics chief economist Dr Sarah Hunter.

“In terms of long-term sustainability, there’s still demand shock around [reduced] migration, which will likely make apartments cheaper,” Dr Hunter said.

Overall if local coronavirus cases remained under control and unemployment remained stable, Dr Hunter forecasts regional areas and detached houses in smaller capitals should continue to streak ahead.

She said there was residual demand from buyers capitalising on buyer’s grants and stamp duty concessions.

“Falling interest rates improved affordability which helped demand, but supply hasn’t responded all that much yet as the volume of transactions – although they are turning – have not risen anywhere near as much,” Dr Hunter told The New Daily earlier this month.

In July Hunter anticipated Sydney's property prices would fall for 18 months — and "maybe even beyond that" — because of coronavirus.

While she did not see a sharp drop in prices, she envisaged demand for rental properties dropping due to the lack of international students, tourists and overseas workers living in Sydney. 

Ms Hunter suggested that may result in property owners withdrawing homes from the rental market and selling them instead. 

"We might see some landlords look to sell their properties if they can't see a quick resolution to the situation, which does seem likely in the next 12 months,” she told the ABC.

“It does look very challenging."

Jonathan Chancellor

Jonathan Chancellor

Jonathan Chancellor is one of our authors. Jonathan has been writing about property since the early 1980s and is editor-at-large of Property Observer.

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