Brisbane market maintaining momentum, backed by lift in demand
Sales activity in the Inner Brisbane apartment market maintained momentum throughout the third quarter of this year, according to Colliers International.
Its research and forecast report for the second half of 2013 shows unconditional sales reached their highest point in nine years - with 645 sales recorded across 48 projects. And this figure is expected to be revised upward after including settled sales in projects where surveys were incomplete.
Activity levels have remained elevated since the first quarter of the year, with both a significant number of project releases and increased sales activity.
In the 12 months to the end of September around 2,300 unconditional sales were well above the median long-term average. Although annual sales are still dominated by the Inner North, the Inner South, and to a lesser extent the Inner West, have reclaimed a significant proportion of demand in 2013 as a result of new project releases, the report said.
Prices have remained largely unchanged over the past 12 months. The September quarter’s weighted average sale price of $532,900 was 4% less than quarter two and 1% less than the same period in 2012. Largely a factor of stock type sold, the quarterly decline may be due to a higher proportion of one bedroom apartments sold in the September quarter than in June.
On an annualised basis, the weighted average sale price was $531,100 - virtually unchanged from quarter two 2013. The type of apartments still for sale in existing projects suggest the quarterly weighted average sale price may rise in coming quarters.
Underlying fundamentals support the Inner Brisbane apartment market. The lowest cash rate in our history combined with firm rents, low vacancies and a preference for inner city living - among a range of demographics - has led to increased demand.
Notably, the report says, apartments made up 95% of all approvals in the year to quarter three 2013 in Inner Brisbane. Investors are active in the market as dwelling prices remain stable and rents firm leading to rising income returns. Yields for Brisbane apartments are now well above the national average, according to RP Data-Rismark.
Developers and marketing agents report interstate buyers favour Brisbane as a desirable investment opportunity as strong price growth in Sydney and Melbourne erodes gross yields in those markets.
Should the southern capitals, Sydney in particular, sustain current levels of price growth, investors will be further attracted by the returns offered in the Inner Brisbane market.
Looking ahead, the report says around 3,200 apartments are due for release next year. As in the preceding 12 months, take-up may be moderate to firm provided demand fundamentals remain stable. Developers have identified this underlying demand and, subsequently, entered a site acquisition cycle in the past six months.
The Reserve Bank’s cash rate setting should remain ‘’accommodative’’ to household lending, the report says, as a result of the moderated economic forecast for 2014/15 that, in turn, should support apartment prices in Inner Brisbane. However, if growth in Sydney continues at an ‘’unsustainable’’ rate, the RBA may have to adjust its settings accordingly, albeit for a short period.
Sales activity in the Inner Brisbane apartment market maintained momentum throughout the third quarter of this year, according to Colliers International.
Its research and forecast report for the second half of 2013 shows unconditional sales reached their highest point in nine years - with 645 sales recorded across 48 projects. And this figure is expected to be revised upward after including settled sales in projects where surveys were incomplete.
Activity levels have remained elevated since the first quarter of the year, with both a significant number of project releases and increased sales activity.
In the 12 months to the end of September around 2,300 unconditional sales were well above the median long-term average. Although annual sales are still dominated by the Inner North, the Inner South, and to a lesser extent the Inner West, have reclaimed a significant proportion of demand in 2013 as a result of new project releases, the report said.
Prices have remained largely unchanged over the past 12 months. The September quarter’s weighted average sale price of $532,900 was 4% less than quarter two and 1% less than the same period in 2012. Largely a factor of stock type sold, the quarterly decline may be due to a higher proportion of one bedroom apartments sold in the September quarter than in June.
On an annualised basis, the weighted average sale price was $531,100 - virtually unchanged from quarter two 2013. The type of apartments still for sale in existing projects suggest the quarterly weighted average sale price may rise in coming quarters.
Underlying fundamentals support the Inner Brisbane apartment market. The lowest cash rate in our history combined with firm rents, low vacancies and a preference for inner city living - among a range of demographics - has led to increased demand.
Notably, the report says, apartments made up 95% of all approvals in the year to quarter three 2013 in Inner Brisbane. Investors are active in the market as dwelling prices remain stable and rents firm leading to rising income returns. Yields for Brisbane apartments are now well above the national average, according to RP Data-Rismark.
Developers and marketing agents report interstate buyers favour Brisbane as a desirable investment opportunity as strong price growth in Sydney and Melbourne erodes gross yields in those markets.
Should the southern capitals, Sydney in particular, sustain current levels of price growth, investors will be further attracted by the returns offered in the Inner Brisbane market.
Looking ahead, the report says around 3,200 apartments are due for release next year. As in the preceding 12 months, take-up may be moderate to firm provided demand fundamentals remain stable. Developers have identified this underlying demand and, subsequently, entered a site acquisition cycle in the past six months.
The Reserve Bank’s cash rate setting should remain ‘’accommodative’’ to household lending, the report says, as a result of the moderated economic forecast for 2014/15 that, in turn, should support apartment prices in Inner Brisbane. However, if growth in Sydney continues at an ‘’unsustainable’’ rate, the RBA may have to adjust its settings accordingly, albeit for a short period.