Sydney house values dropped 10 percent in 2018: CoreLogic

Sydney house values dropped 10 percent in 2018: CoreLogic
Sydney house values dropped 10 percent in 2018: CoreLogic

Consistently larger quarter-on-quarter declines saw 2018 end with Sydney house values down 10 percent at a $918,000 median, according to CoreLogic's full year index.

Melbourne also saw an accelerated decline in house values to finish 2018 down 9.1 percent to a $751,000 median, with its inner east prices hit the hardest.

Units were not as hard hit in the two major capitals, with Sydney unit values down 6.3 percent to $711,000 and Melbourne unit values down 2.3 percent to $541,000.

Overall dwelling values were down 4.8 percent across Australia, ranging from an 8.9 percent fall in Sydney values through to a 9.9 percent rise in values across regional Tasmania. 

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Sydney house values dropped 10 percent in 2018: CoreLogic

"The broad-based weakening in housing market conditions over the 2018 calendar year should come as no surprise," CoreLogic head of research Tim Lawless said adding a variety of factors are having a negative impact on the market that could persist into 2019.

Melbourne’s top quartile housing market led the way with dwelling values down 11.2 percent over the year, while the lower quartile of the market has remained in subtle growth territory over the year (+0.5 percent).

In Sydney, upper quartile dwelling values are 10 percent lower over the year, compared with a 6.8 percent decline across the lower quartile of the market.

Ryde ranked as Sydney's worst performing area of 2018, with declines of 13 percent.

Melbourne's inner east was the worst performing area of 2018, seeing declines of 13.4 percent.

The over-all 7.2 percent Melbourne decline from its peak 13 months ago compares with Sydney's 6.9 percent dip when it was 13 months into its downturn.

Although Sydney and Melbourne recorded the weakest conditions, the peak to current declines are much less severe relative to Perth and Darwin where values have been falling since mid-2014.

Sydney values are now 11.1% lower relative to the July 2017 peak and Melbourne values are down 7.2 percent since peaking in November 2017.

"The downturn has been running much longer in Perth and Darwin, resulting in cumulative falls of 15.6 percent and 24.5 percent respectively," Lawless noted.

At the end of 2018, Sydney values were back to where they were in August 2016, while Melbourne values are back to February 2017 levels.

Perth values are back to levels last seen in March 2009 and Darwin dwelling values are at October 2007 levels.

Sydney prices are still about 60 percent higher than they were in 2012.

This time last year, at the end of 2017 Tim Lawless noted that the 2017 shift to falling national dwelling values was being driven by the capital cities, with the combined capitals tracking half a percent lower over the December quarter, while across the combined regional areas of Australia, values were half a percent higher over the quarter.

Amongst the capitals, the weakest end of 2017 year conditions were concentrated in Sydney and Darwin.

Sydney house values dropped 10 percent in 2018: CoreLogic

At December 31, 2017 Sydney dwelling values remained 70.8 percent higher than their cyclical low point in February 2012.

The best performing capital city over the 2017 calendar year was Hobart, where dwelling values rose by 12.3 percent: almost five times higher than Hobart’s decade average annual rate of capital gain (2.5 percent).


Jonathan Chancellor

Jonathan Chancellor

Jonathan Chancellor is one of our authors. Jonathan has been writing about property since the early 1980s and is editor-at-large of Property Observer.

Sydney Housing Market


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