Sydney's property price recovery halted over the June quarter: Domain

Sydney’s house and unit price recovery halted over the June quarter, with prices down by almost $23,000 and just over $14,000 respectively.

The June quarter also marks the first time house prices have moderated since early 2019.

While Sydney property prices remain higher than in 2019, house and unit prices are $55,000 and $52,000 below the mid-2017 peak respectively, presenting an opportunity for prospective buyers.

June 2020 QoQ change for Sydney house and unit prices

“Sydney’s house and unit price recovery was abruptly halted over the June quarter, down 2 per cent and 1.9 per cent respectively. Houses have lost almost $23,000 and units just over $14,000 in the June quarter, the first quarter to show the impact of COVID-19. For houses, this is the first time prices have moderated since early 2019 and a year for units. Sydney was in an upswing prior to this interruption, highlighted by the strong annual growth, up by 10.5 per cent for houses and 7.3 per cent for units. House prices are $110,000 above the early 2019 trough but remain $55,000 below the mid-2017 peak. Unit prices are $50,000 above the mid-2019 trough but remain $52,000 below the mid-2017 peak.”

“Price falls to date have been minimal; significant government stimulus, mortgage holidays and low interest rates have helped to support home values. This is assisting many homeowners through economically challenging times and has kept distressed and urgent selling low. The risk to prices becomes greater once the stimulus measures cease and we face the fiscal cliff. While lenders have extended the mortgage pause for those under serious financial strain and the JobKeeper subsidy will be extended and tapered until the end of March next year, the outlook for prices largely depends upon how well the economy is tracking at the time stimulus ends.”

“The full impact of the economic shutdown was evident in the June quarter. Sales activity, listings and clearance rates fell in April but were rebounding by June. It is clear confidence has lifted from the April lows, sellers have returned, and more buyers think now is a good time to purchase - nationally rising to a six-month high, according to the Westpac Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment. Buyer interest has renewed from the April lows - those with job security are being enticed by low mortgage rates, government financial incentives and taking advantage of improved affordability. Price expectations have changed rapidly in recent months, with more vendors adjusting asking prices downwards to seek a timely sale. In June, 15.2 per cent of sellers reduced asking prices, three times higher than the same time last year. The proportion of properties discounted is a leading indicator of price movement, evidence that further price weakness lies ahead,” said Domain Senior Research Analyst, Dr Nicola Powell.