A-REIT performance over the reporting season: Binesh Seetanah
The June 2013 reporting season has recently been completed, with most AREITs releasing results in-line or slightly better than forecast. A review of the major underperformers and outperformers during the reporting season (31 July 2013 to 30 August 2013) has been undertaken.
AREIT performance over the reporting season
During the reporting season, the AREIT sector generated a negative return of 0.2%, underperforming the Australian share market by 2.7%. Underperformance of the sector is partly attributable to an increase in long-term government bond yields during the month with long-term bond rates increasing by approximately 0.18% to 0.20%. Chart 1 below shows the total returns of individual AREITs over the reporting season.
Chart 1 – AREITs returns over August 2013
Click to enlarge
Source: IRESS
Underperformers
Key underperformers during the reporting period were FKP Property Group whose share price fell by 16.9%, BWP Trust which fell by 5.9%, and GPT Group falling 3.0%.
FKP Property Group reported an impairment of $188m of its held properties and an 11% fall in its NTA just prior to the release of its financial year-end results and was subsequently sold down heavily. Statutory profit, dividend per share and earnings per share fell considerably.
The fall in value of the BWP Trust during the reporting period is mainly attributable to an entitlement equity raising made on August 8, 2013 at a discount of 4% to the prevailing stock price. This raising was completed on August 26, 2013. Financial results were in-line with expectations for the Trust with the exception of an increase in debt which increased finance costs by 6.2% and a fall of 1.2% in distributable profit for the financial year.
GPT financial results were below expectations attributable mainly to downward revaluations of properties held in Dandenong and Charlestown. Statutory profit, which includes exceptional items, was down by 6.7% from 2012 results and was below expectations. Net operating income growth slowed by 0.7% during the first six months of the year. The company’s has revised its earnings per share forecast down by 0.4% for the financial year ending June 30, 2014.
Outperformers
Key outperformers during the reporting period were Cromwell Property Group, whose share price rose by 5.6% and Stockland, which rose by 4.2%.
Cromwell Property Group stock price rose by 2% on the day of its release of the financial results. Results were in-line or slightly above expectations for the financial year. Dividends per share and dividend payout ratio were slightly higher relative to 2012 financial results and in-line with expectations. Operating profit amounted to 7.6 cents per share relative to expectation of 7.5 cents per share, with property investments contributing to 95% of operating earnings (up by 21% from last year). Additional rental income from properties acquired in NSW and Brisbane CBD in May 2013 contributed to a higher operating profit than expected. The company forecast an increase in operating profit of 8.8% and an increase in distributions of 3.4% for the financial year ending 30 June 2014.
There was no significant impact on Stockland’s share price following the announcement of weaker financial year results, as they were in-line with expectations. Stockland reported a fall in earnings per share of 24% during the financial year mainly attributable to a fall of approximately 79% in statutory profit, resulting from the writing down of its residential portfolio by around $355 million during the year. Strong performance relative to the sector during the reporting season can be partly attributable to the company’s positive outlook for the residential property market.
Binesh Seetanah is an analyst at Atchison Consultants.
