Industrial and logistics occupiers positive on growth outlook: CBRE survey
Industrial and logistics occupiers are on an overall basis, optimistic about the future with a majority hoping their businesses will be better off financially over the next 12 months, according to a new survey by commercial real estate firm CBRE.
According to the Industrial and Logistics Occupier Survey Report by CBRE, 66% of respondents expect their business to be better off financially, while a quarter said expecting things to stay the same over the next 12 months (Figure 5).
CBRE engaged TNS Kantar for the survey that aimed to gain a better understanding of decision making, future plans and how changes in technology are impacting the industry.
The warehousing and distribution sector is the most positive with 86% of respondents expecting their business to be better off, while 61% of the transport sector had a positive financial outlook (Figure 6).
Increases in road tolls, particularly in Melbourne, and the introduction of a container charge to be levied on transport companies at Melbourne and Sydney ports may have been a factor for the flatter score, CBRE said.
“Victoria is experiencing stable economic growth and solid wage growth. These favourable economic conditions have been reflected in the results of the survey,” said the report.
Victorian businesses have the strongest outlook with 76% expecting their business to be better off than what it is now while only 65% of NSW businesses said the same.
Furthermore, 48% of Victorian businesses are considering hiring more staff compared to 29% for NSW businesses. NSW’s softer results follow a period of very strong economic growth driven by construction activity in the housing and infrastructure sectors which is easing from high levels - the slowdown in momentum may have driven the flat results.
On the other hand, 70% of Queensland based survey respondents expect to be better off which reflects a period of flat economic performance which is now turning around, encouraging positivity in the sector.
Australian manufacturing has recorded negative Gross Value Add (GVA) growth for the past 18 out of 19 quarters and has been a significant drag on industrial output. Conditions in manufacturing remain mixed, although not all areas are contracting. 40% of manufacturing respondents indicated that they were expecting a high level of staff growth over the next 12 months; however, the sector also had the highest level of staff contraction (17%). As the Australian manufacturing industry shifts towards a smaller scale, high technology offering, there will be a shift in the number of staff required in each facility.
Overall, the survey suggests the strongest net growth is in the retail and warehousing industry closely followed by transport. Unsurprisingly, manufacturers have the lowest net growth expectations.