Demand for Sydney industrial property remains strong: HTW

Investor demand in Sydney for industrial assets remains strong, according to HTW's February 2017 update.

The valuation firm says there is healthy interest from offshore investors in larger scale assets in the west with long-term, strong lease covenants and established tenant profiles compressing yields sharply to record sub 5-6% yields. Prime initial yields in the west compressed by a further 15 basis points from June to September 2016 on the back of strong investment volumes.

Owner occupiers have been strong in the Sydney market, particularly in the construction, food retail and technology sectors and primarily driven by record low interest rates. The strong competition for assets has driven capital values higher and has seen yields firm with effective rents across Sydney increasing by an average of 5%. This has seen investors enter the secondary market in the search for higher yields.

“With prime yields compressing, we anticipate that the spread between prime and secondary industrial assets will tighten over the coming 12 months as investors look for higher performing returns with development upside,” the report said.

Average rental growth performance is strong, with net effective rents up by 3% year on year, higher than their 10 year average growth rate of 2.3%.

Incentives have eased slightly to around 15% over the past six months as a result of this strong demand, however rental pricing remains a significant driver of tenant demand.

Owner occupiers remain dominant in the city fringe, north and south Sydney.

In the strata unit market popular amongst owner occupiers, recent off the plan developments have seen significant increases in capital values rising by over 30% in the past 18 months.

According to NSW government figures, Sydney will benefit from the largest infrastructure spending of any state in Australia to 2020. An estimated $73.3 billion is slated, including $20 billion dollars in just one year. Budget allocations include approximately $9 billion dollars for rail projects, $2.5 billion dollars on upgrades to Sydney’s road infrastructure and over $4.5 billion dollars on health, education, water security and sports infrastructure.

Western Sydney is predicted by HTW to be a major recipient of the spending which will place it at the epicentre of Sydney’s industrial growth throughout 2017 and beyond. As well as the significant investment in infrastructure, this is driven by the availability of labour and (comparative) availability of land, above trend population growth and corresponding increase in demand for services.

“The lack of available land in traditional, inner city industrial precincts in areas such as Marrickville, Redfern and Alexandria, due to high land values, rezoning for high density mixed use, residential use and gentrification, places Western Sydney in a prime position for future growth,” HTW said.

“As an example, from a rental perspective, pricing for an industrial facility in Alexandria is typically $150 to $250 per square metre on a net face basis, however after an office conversion these rents escalate to between $350 and $425 per square metre.

“With the Sydney market being somewhat isolated from the impact of the auto industry shutdown, volatility in the resources sector and mining investment, commodity price volatility and residential property downturn (thus far), we expect industrial effective rents to rise in the next 12 months by between 3 percent and 5 percent.”