Record foreign inflows push commercial property turnover to $33.4 billion in FY15-16: Savills
The financial year 2015/16 marked another year of strong performance in property investment markets in Australia, says Savills Research in their latest World Office Yield Spectrum report, which was compiled along with Deakin University.
The country has attracted record amounts of foreign capital entertained by attractive yields, a stable currency and compelling economic and political metrics.
Domestic institutions, recovering from the GFC and replacing private investors as competitive buyers once again, suddenly found themselves outbid. The large amount of capital from overseas has encouraged many investors to dispose of property, re-weight portfolios and change exposures. This led to a record 12 months of approximately $33.4 billion of turnover in commercial property.
Conversely, many market fundamentals demonstrated the two-tone nature of the Australian economy – some indicators deteriorated in Perth and Brisbane, many showed substantial improvement in Melbourne and Sydney. Brisbane appears to have reached a base whilst Melbourne and Sydney continue to improve.
Capital markets exhibited greater degrees of volatility throughout the year and have finished the year weaker with the ASX200 falling 7 percent, however the Australian dollar rose 2 percent against the US dollar and 10-year bonds yields fell by 100 basis points to approximately 2%.
“Commercial property investment yields firmed across the board – a theme we have been writing about for several years now. We still do not believe it has fully run its course,” says the report.
“In some markets, fundamentals are improving rapidly. We believe this improvement will lead to further tightening in yields as investment capital starts to price in expectations of future NOI growth. This part of the yield cycle is just beginning.”
