Two brave budget decisions that would benefit tomorrow’s generation

Two brave budget decisions that would benefit tomorrow’s generation
John EdwardsDecember 7, 2020

GUEST OBSERVATION

Our federal budget is due to be delivered on Tuesday 13 May, 2014 and we are being repeatedly told that there has to be significant cuts to expenditure. Our state budgets will be delivered soon after that date.

In essence it is time for governments to deliver something which is new and helpful to maintain and increase housing stock, but at the same time does not simply drive housing prices higher. This definitely rules out changes to negative gearing as its removal would simply reduce investor activity and available housing stock.

There are two outcomes in our housing markets that are needed:

1. Ensure there is an increase in Australian citizen investment in new housing stock; and

2. Increase the number of first home owners in the market.

The first, in my view, is a state issue

Most of us will have family or friends who have been trying to buy a home and failed because they have been out bid by a cashed-up foreign buyer. One has to ask whether foreign buyers should have equal rights as Australian citizens. I suspect not. That is not to say that foreign buyers are not necessary in our markets, rather they are simply investing in a low risk, very attractive country and for that benefit they should have to pay some type of premium.

Altering our land tax regime would enable us to charge this premium from foreign investors and potentially decrease their activity without necessarily decreasing supply of new stock. This can be done by increasing the land tax payable by non-Australian citizens who own property in our country and at the same time, decrease the rate of land tax charged on property owned by Australian citizens, with all property purchased in the future and currently held, being subjected to these changes. Obviously, the amount of these alterations will need to be modelled and the changes would need to be phased in.

The consequence is clear. Foreign investment activity would be marginally reduced (depending on the altered tax rate applicable to them) and the lower tax rates for Australian citizens should cause increased investment activity by this group. It should also mean that the first home owner may have a better chance of competing when buying.

The second, in my view, is a federal government matter

The first home owner has been forced out of the market simply as a consequence of rising house prices and the consequent level of income needed to support a home loan.

In essence we need to organise things so this group – and everyone buying a property to live in – has adequate cash flow to meet the high home loan repayments. This will particularly be the case when interest rates increase in the medium term.

A relatively simple change to the capital gains tax (CGT) legislation is required.

This change would allow home owners to claim interest deductions on their home loan repayments where they elect to be subject to normal capital gains tax on the profit they make on any future sale of the property. In essence they exchange the right to have their home exempt from capital gains tax in exchange for the right to immediately reduce their taxable income by the interest they are paying on their home loan.

Being brutally honest given the government’s current budget problems they should simply just phase in the removal of the capital gains tax exemption on the family home all together and automatically provide first home owners who buy a new home with the right to claim interest deductions. Politically this might be better for government than altering pension rights and health benefits etc.

Allowing buyers to elect to claim interest as a deduction would mean an improved annual cash flow which will help to make housing more affordable. What is the cash benefit? Well assume someone has a loan of $400,000 and has a tax rate of 22% then the annual benefit at current interest rates would be in the order of $5,000 per annum or roughly about $100 per week.

The impact of this proposal on borrowers as interest rates increase should also not be overlooked. That is, deductibility means that interest rate increases will not have as large a negative impact on our first home owner as they would otherwise. As interest rates increase their deductions increase and their tax liability is reduced. Hence as interest rates rise, defaults on home loans are likely to also be lower.

There needs to be some detailed modelling to work out a progressive phasing in and potentially define a percentage of the interest cost on the home loan that would be allowed to be deductible. Once this is done then a reasonably solid estimate of the cost to the federal budget could be identified.

From any logical perspective, a combination of subjecting all of our owner occupied housing to a form of capital gains tax and allowing our first home owners to access interest tax deductions, does have merit. And provided it is structured in a manner which does not drive housing prices higher, it will also make housing affordable for the next generation.

The negative which could be seen as a benefit by some, is that it would encourage home owners to limit their trading activity in their own home. That is, a home owner would potentially be less inclined to use their home as trading stock and instead use it as a mechanism for wealth generation by buying with the intent of selling following renovation.

In the short-term we are going to be asked to accept some difficult decisions and perhaps the above, implemented carefully by government could potentially soften the perceived blow.

John Edwards is consulting analyst for Onthehouse.com.au and founder of Residex.

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