Why property investment is still a way to get rich in the current climate

Why property investment is still a way to get rich in the current climate
Cameron McEvoyDecember 8, 2020

With so much negativity in the broader Australian property investment industry recently, there has been a lot of backlash against the “value” of property investment and the potential for success within it. Today I want to share some perspectives on this subject and discuss how some of the negatives should really be considered ‘positives’.

I want to begin by sharing an article by Michael Yardney about how the rich make their money.

He effectively states that you’ll “never get rich by working for ‘the man’”. I believe this to be true also. I think true financial freedom comes from stepping out independently and making your fortune. Doing it “your way” allows you to take control of which partners you choose and how much you are willing to pay others to help you get closer to achieving your financial dreams. He cites capital growth as being the main way to get ahead, make money, and get closer to becoming rich.

But with capital gains hurt recently in the Australian property market, it becomes hard to really look at property (and to some extent the share market) as an asset class objectively, when other investment classes such as gold and resources are offering more incentivised capital growth prospects.

So why invest in property in a climate like this? With plenty of negative sentiment about, some states and regions actually going backwards in growth numbers, and the immediate future looking to show no immediate dramatic improvement, property as an investment type must seem pretty unappealing right now – to the uninitiated, at least. Well, I am not going to argue with this. Sure, things right now are not as great as we’ve seen in the last 10 years, so why invest?

There is no easy answer to write in one sentence. But if I were to try to, I’d simply say this: everybody has to live somewhere. Think about that for a moment and let it sink in. A roof over our heads is a pretty basic human need. And people need to work to live. Basic logic says that people thus need a place to live that is also within easy access to their place of work, so they can, well, make a living.

“Need” translates to supply and demand. If there are way too many properties in a market, demand will be low because everyone is already housed. This is where Australia offers such great opportunity. Because we are a young country, still growing and most places do not have enough property available to meet the demand of their markets, demand for property will remain very strong in places for years. Regardless of the volume of construction projects that get approved, Australia will always be “chasing its tail: to make sure there are enough properties available for people – where we need them, that is. This is a very important state of play for Australia and sets us apart from highly oversupplied markets such as the US, Dubai (and all of the United Arab Emirates, for that matter) and even Japan, which is beginning to shift more towards oversupply.

What I am getting at with all of this is: although values may fluctuate, this is all part of the process. This market correction we are going through is nothing new; it happens every 10 years, really, and is a normal part to any property market cycle (peaks, troughs, and everything in between). If your strategy is a long-term “buy and hold” approach, you have nothing to worry about on the capital growth front. The truth is, if prices were dipping so badly, this would not (and does not) change the dynamics of supply and demand.

Yes, the same number of people will front up to a Saturday inspection of a tiny one-bedroom apartment in Bondi, hoping to get that lease, regardless of whether the place is worth $250,000 or $500,000. What this means for investors is that in times of slow capital growth, if you buy property that provides good rental return, you won’t feel this so much. That one-bedroom in Bondi will still continue to rent for $500 per week, regardless.

 


 

This is where demographics come in. The great thing about living in a very large country, but one with a low population, is the concentration of employment centres to just a handful of major cities, along with regional centres that are one-stop economies. In this way, Australia and Canada are quite similar.

Let’s be honest, if you live in either country, and you want a decent professional/office/services job, you are really restricted to a few major cities ( Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide in Australia, and Vancouver, Toronto, Montreal, Ottawa, Edmonton in Canada). If you want a regional resources “one-stop” job, you are also restricted to key areas (in Australia, mining towns like Kalgoorlie, Mt Isa, Bowen Basin, Coober Pedy, and in Canada, oil/gas/mining towns like Estevan, Wood Buffalo, and St Albert). What this means for both countries is that demand for residential property is driven mostly by a small volume of towns/cities. There is simply not the variety of job options in many cities that there are in other countries such as the US.

All of this translates to ever-increasing rents in areas of high demand. This then translates to increased rental return (aka monthly income) from your rents. This is good news when coupled with some of the very cheap interest rates being offered by lenders currently and moving in to 2013. Higher rental return and lower interest rates can literally add hundreds of dollars per month to your bottom line when holding a residential rental property. And we have not even begun to take capital growth in to effect.

Buying in a depressed market, providing you buy the “right” property (if I haven’t made it obvious enough already in this article – location, location, location – it is all about buying property in close proximity to employment centres), offers additional benefits. You can negotiate great discounting on areas (such as I have done twice in the last 12 months), as well as get a feel for the true value of property in your target postcodes. As you enter into the “due diligence” phase, you’ll learn about where values have diminished some and settled back to reflect the true value of that area.

We always knew that the property boom of 2003-07 would not be a long-term thing. Yes, values are reduced right now, but an opportunist such as me sees this only as a positive thing. I say this because you get double benefits: you buy at the cheapest rates possible, with great rental return and holding costs kicking in for the next few years, then within the next five or so years start to see values creep back up.

So why choose property investment in this climate? Well, choose it for the same reasons that you’d choose it in a more “prosperous” climate – as long as your foundations and due diligence check out from the beginning, that is all that matters.

Cameron McEvoy is a NSW-based property investor and maintains a blog, Property Spectator.

Cameron McEvoy

Cameron McEvoy is a NSW-based property investor and maintains a blog, Property Correspondent.

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