Property market taking a breather: Yellow Brick Road's Mark Bouris
There is no need to get spooked out by the recent talk about Australia’s housing market bubble set to burst, especially after CoreLogic data pointed to prices dropping, but rather it maybe that the market is taking a breather, says a leading industry executive.
The CoreLogic data that came out last week showed a slight dip in prices. But most of the headlines were about two cities: Sydney and Melbourne, says Mark Bouris, the executive chairman of wealth manager Yellow Brick Road.
“We need to remember that prices have been going gangbusters there for more than five years,” he said in a column in Fairfax Media.
Also, Australia is a patchwork of very different markets. In May, prices rose in Brisbane and Adelaide, while values in Perth and Darwin fell.
“And that doesn't take into account all the regional areas, where things such as employment and infrastructure have a big impact on housing prices,” adds Bouris.
“If you only read the headlines, it's easy to get spooked about property. But based on the latest data, we aren't talking about a bubble bursting or prices falling off a cliff – we're seeing the market take a breather. After all, it's been running at full tilt for a while now.”
For owner-occupiers, the implications could be that if there has been good capital growth and then one might want to tap into your home equity to buy another property.
Some lenders have pulled back on investor loans, thanks to pressure from the banking regulators, but the tap hasn't been turned off altogether, he says.
“The key is to be sensible. Think about "serviceability" – making sure you have the income to cover an investment loan, especially if it's negatively geared.
“And don't overextend by getting the biggest loan possible – choose something you can still afford if interest rates increase or rental income flatlines.”
For investors, a “less frothy market” means the need to look harder for the right property, he advises.
One needs to pay close attention to the fundamentals such as the area’s supply and demand for housing.
“Supply is one half of the equation, so look at things such as development application (DA) approvals to see how much is in the pipeline.
“On the other hand, demand is influenced by population growth and where jobs are coming from – so make sure it's an area people want to be in,” he adds.
A lot of this data is publicly available using sources such as the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
“Think of it as a business decision and do your homework properly.”