Hobart shines in 2015's strong start, but house price growth set to slow: CoreLogic RP Data's January results

Hobart shines in 2015's strong start, but house price growth set to slow: CoreLogic RP Data's January results
Jessie RichardsonDecember 7, 2020

Sydney and Melbourne's performance continued to propel the national housing market in January, according to the latest CoreLogic RP Data.

Hobart, however, had a surprising start, recording the second strongest monthly result of any capital city.

It was the the strongest monthly result for six months.

Capital city dwelling values increased by 1.3% last month, but CoreLogic RP Data noted in its January Hedonic Home Value Results that the results were varied across the country.

Source: CoreLogic RP Data

Melbourne outperformed all other Australian capital cities in January, recording a 2.7% increase in dwelling values over the month. While Hobart's growth was second highest, at 1.6%, Sydney's 1.4% price growth made a significant impact on the national result due to the city's high number of homes.

CoreLogic RP Data Head of Research Tim Lawless described Hobart's results as a unique occurrence.

“Generally, Hobart has recorded the lowest rate of capital gain since the onset of the GFC, however housing market conditions  have  been  improving.    Local  economic  conditions  have  been  improving  and  Hobart  homes  are  the  most  affordable  of  any  capital  city," said Lawless.

"Additionally,  the  market  is  benefitting  from  the  return  of  ‘lifestyle  buyers’.  After  Darwin,  the  southernmost capital is also showing the second highest gross rental yields of  any other capital city.”

Hobart's median house price was $364,000 for the quarter to January, while the median unit price was $265,000.

Although Sydney's price growth slipped below both Melbourne's and Hobart's last month, its homes are still the most expensive in the country, with a median price of $850,000 for houses and $605,000 for units.

Lawless noted that Sydney's housing market has stood apart since 2009, with a 57% increase in home values from January 2009 to January 2015.

"The second highest growth rate over the same period has been in Melbourne where values are 50% higher. There is a significant gap between the next best performers over the same six year period. Darwin has seen less than half the level of growth at 24% followed by Canberra at 18% and Perth at 17% total growth," said Lawless.

Melbourne's house market was stronger than its units. House values were up 2.8% to a median of $613,000, while units were up 1.7% with a median price of $480,000. On a long term basis, price growth for detached houses has been stronger than unit price growth across the country.

Despite the strong January results, Lawless said the housing market is slowing.

"In a sign that housing market conditions are gradually cooling, the rolling annual rate of capital gain has been trending lower," he noted.

"At the end of January the annual rate of dwelling value growth across the combined capitals index had slowed to 8.0%, down from the early 2014 peak of 11.5%," Lawless said.

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