First home buyer numbers also gone missing in worrying ABS data blackhole

First home buyer numbers also gone missing in worrying ABS data blackhole
Jonathan ChancellorDecember 7, 2020

It's not just doubts over the unemployment number accuracy of the ABS that is troubling for everyone who wants to gauge the strength or weakness of the Australian economy.

Today's October RBA chart pack again had no first home buyer data from the ABS.

Owner occupiers and investors yes, but not the key indicator of the first timers.

The October chart pack certainly shows the troubling narrowing of the gap between investor numbers and the traditional owner occupier market.

 Housing Loan Approvals graph

But the first home data disappeared ever since the June chart pack (below).

An RBA spokesperson advised Property Observer back in June that the central bank had decided to remove the data from the chart pack graph while it is being reviewed by the ABS provider.

As I then wrote, the Fairfax Media columnist Michael Pascoe had first noted the RBA had intriguingly dropped first home figures from its June economic data chart pack, suggesting perhaps it was as a consequence of rising concerns about the possible underestimating of first home buyer statistics.

So May (below) was the last time the RBA board published detailed first home buyer numbers, showing that first home buyers had supposedly withdrawn from the market.

ScreenHunter_38 May. 08 20.46

These extraordinary data lapses in housing and employment data won't be helping poor Joe Hockey's understanding of the economy. So rather than the government trimming the ABS's funding, which began under Labor, perhaps it actually needs a funding boost.

Jonathan Chancellor

Jonathan Chancellor is one of Australia's most respected property journalists, having been at the top of the game since the early 1980s. Jonathan co-founded the property industry website Property Observer and has written for national and international publications.

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