Market "frenzy" fading with asking prices at a standstill and stock levels stagnating: SQM Research
National residential property listings rose 5.2% between April and May, with 366,413 residential properties listed according to SQM Research.
The research firm believes that stock levels have stagnated, with last year’s “frenzy in the market” fading. Total stock on the market was down 1.8% from May 2013.
However, SQM has also noted that the monthly rise in stock levels was largely due to the five May Fridays this year. With only four Fridays usually occurring in a month, the extra week meant more listings for a larger sample, particularly given that many new listings are released on a Friday for the weekend.
Darwin was the only capital city to see a big jump in listings since May last year, with stock up by 21.7%. According to SQM, stock level increases are an ongoing trend in the city. Canberra saw the largest decrease in stock listings in the last year. Despite an expected downturn in the city, stock on the market decreased by 11.4%.
On a monthly basis, no capital city saw a decrease in listings. However, the smallest increase in stock on the market was recorded in Hobart, where the number of listings rose 1.7% for the month to 4,499.
Average house and unit prices have also stayed relatively flat on a month to month basis as shown by SQM Research’s Asking Price Index. SQM recorded a 0.7% increase for house prices between April and May and a 0.5% increase for units.
SQM Research’s managing director Louis Christopher says that given market conditions, he doesn’t expect an increase in interest rates right now.
“Some heat has come out of the national housing market as SQM Research is no longer recording the large scale, year on year decreases in listings that was occurring this time last year,” he said.
“Right now, it appears to be a market that is steady and not too strong yet not too weak. At this stage I don’t believe the market is at the point where an upward pressure would be placed on interest rates.”