Property a window of opportunity in dark times

Tuesday this week was the most volatile day for Australian share markets in 27 years, with shares down 5.6% at one point. Apparently, it was the only day where the market was down by such a significant margin, only to turn and finish in the black. Talk about a rollercoaster ride.

We are seeing very low consumer sentiment, in fact confidence has fallen for the past four months straight as everyone is spreading their doom and gloom thoughts.

This week, the Australian dollar fell below parity for the first time since March this year and the US Central Bank announced they would keep interest rates at zero for the next two years.

Retail spending across the country is growing at its slowest pace in 50 years.

This is just some of the data I’ve been pondering today when writing this column.  It wasn’t hard to Google up the negative news, so when I was asked to write about my take on it all and how it may affect starting a new development, I really had to stop and think.

Because what is extremely interesting right now, as we see these turbulent times in the stock market and world economies, is that we are getting a lot of enquiry from people wanting to take the next step into developing property.  We’ve never been busier. You might think this strange as developing is often referred to as a ‘risky’ strategy. And if there’s one thing we don’t need now in these volatile times is more risk.

But is developing really that risky?  Not compared to what else is going around right now.  By developing, you are adding value to your property.  I’m not suggesting you build a block of 50 units, perhaps look at a simple dual occupancy development, creating two properties from one.  By doing just this, you can also create equity rather than wait for capital growth to come.  If you take it one step further and build three villas on your land, you will see the equity creation grow substantially with little further risk.  Three villas may take only a little longer to develop than two.  Minimise the risk by using a project manager to help you fast track your development.

Our clients at the moment are also holding investment properties.  They want to add to their portfolios quickly and they see opportunity in today’s buyers market.  Hmmm....on one hand there is the doom and gloom of what they are calling the ‘Second GFC’ and on the other hand we have clients lining up to buy development sites.

I think I know why.  Over the past few years, we’ve seen our rental markets tighten and tighten and keep tightening.  So those of us holding investment property have finally been able to reap the rewards of higher yields.   In the meantime, our access to credit has loosened up, a little bit anyway.  Most lenders are offering higher LVRs and softened serviceability criteria compared to the drastic changes that were made in 2008 as a result of the global credit crises.  Construction loans are becoming easier to obtain for multi unit developments and I’m working with one lender who is now lending on Tentative on Completion valuations, meaning developers can borrow against the end value of the development, maximising their finance and using less of their own cash.  As a result, investors holding high yielding investment properties can service a development.

Property Bloom develops property in the Hunter Region of NSW, but only in large towns where the government is spending up on major infrastructure projects and where there is growing employment.  The coal mining industry has an impact on most of our towns but we still like to develop where there is a diverse economy.  We choose towns that have already been earmarked for high growth to take up the area’s growing populations and where there is strong rental demand.  In fact, these towns are powering along, some are even opening retail stores, it’s like they are on another planet, oblivious to what is happening in some parts of Australia and other parts of the world.

So is property development a good strategy right now. It’s a yes from me, but only in the right areas.  I think we’re on the cusp of a growth phase that may be triggered when interest rates drop. The demand will come from mainstream investors wanting less volatility than the share market is offering.  If you are adding value to your property at the same time as the market moves up, it’s a double whammy.  I really think this is a window of opportunity rather than a gloomy dark place.