Brisbane sees a fall in the profit-making resales: CoreLogic Pain & Gain

Brisbane saw a fall in the incidence of profit-making resales in the March quarter, comprising 87 per cent of these transactions. This is down from 88 per cent in the December quarter, and 88.4 per cent in the March 2019 quarter.

Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.

The house market continued to show strong returns relative to the unit market. Over the quarter, 94.6 per cent of houses saw a nominal gain compared with 63.8 per cent of units. This is due to the ongoing, divergent capital growth performance between houses and units. In the 5 years to March 2020 annualised growth across Brisbane houses was 2.7 per cent, compared to -0.8 per cent in units.

These conditions also inform the loss making sales seen across the Brisbane Council Region. In the March quarter, 15.1 per cent of resales saw a loss. Of these loss-making sales, 88.3 per cent were units. It is also noteworthy that across the Brisbane council region, 66.0 per cent of loss making sales had been held by investors.

Interestingly, the area with the highest portion of loss making sales was the Lockyer Valley Council region. This portion is off a small base, with only 21 sales in the quarter seeing a nominal decline at resale. Most of these were houses, and had a relatively lengthy median hold period of 9.7 years. However, the median loss on these properties was also relatively small, at $20,000.

While dwelling market demand may continue to be impacted by COVID-19, a bright spot for ongoing demand in the Queensland market is interstate migration. Over the past few years, Queensland has been the largest recipient of interstate migrants, who typically come from New South Wales or Victoria. The imposed lock down which has seen many adapt to working from home could create added demand for South East Queensland property from owner occupiers as demand returns to the economy. This is because SEQ offers a far more affordable housing price point compared with those in Sydney and Melbourne, and may have greater lifestyle appeal for some.

Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.